FrançaisLower-risk stocks to buy
The top 20 stocks where the single most reliable analyst on the sector is bullish, prioritizing analyst reliability over upside. 11-year backtest: +21%/yr vs +12.6% S&P 500, lowest volatility (~25%), ratio 0.95. The least risky, but still a bet.
| # ↕ | Stock ↕ | Price ↕ | Reliable analysts' target i ▼ | Reliability (best analyst) i ↕ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GNRC Generac | $197.29 | 🎯 $333 (most reliable) +69% · 5 reliable analysts Market consensus : Buy | 88.9% profitable Cantor Fitzgerald · Industrie · 9 calls |
| 2 | GOOGL Alphabet Inc. (Class A) | $340.65 | 🎯 $420 (most reliable) +23% · 12 reliable analysts Market consensus : Buy | 100% profitable Cantor Fitzgerald · Comm. · 13 calls |
| 3 | APP AppLovin | $312.63 | 🎯 $610 (most reliable) +95% · 10 reliable analysts Market consensus : Buy | 81.2% profitable Wedbush · Tech · 372 calls |
| 4 | UBER Uber | $76.95 | 🎯 $125 (most reliable) +62% · 14 reliable analysts Market consensus : Buy | 80.8% profitable Guggenheim · Industrie · 26 calls |
| 5 | EME Emcor | $775.04 | 🎯 $1047 (most reliable) +35% · 3 reliable analysts Market consensus : Buy | 88.9% profitable Cantor Fitzgerald · Industrie · 9 calls |
| 6 | PWR Quanta Services | $621.83 | 🎯 $976 (most reliable) +57% · 5 reliable analysts Market consensus : Buy | 80% profitable Truist Securities · Industrie · 205 calls |
| 7 | NRG NRG Energy | $114.41 | 🎯 $211 (most reliable) +84% · 5 reliable analysts Market consensus : Buy | 78% profitable Scotiabank · Utilities · 50 calls |
| 8 | AMZN Amazon | $256.26 | 🎯 $345 (most reliable) +35% · 19 reliable analysts Market consensus : Buy | 87.5% profitable Rosenblatt · Conso. disc. · 8 calls |
| 9 | GEV GE Vernova | $953.83 | 🎯 $1450 (most reliable) +52% · 8 reliable analysts Market consensus : Buy | 80.8% profitable Guggenheim · Industrie · 26 calls |
| 10 | ORCL Oracle Corporation | $151.94 | 🎯 $400 (most reliable) +163% · 15 reliable analysts Market consensus : Buy | 82.1% profitable BTIG · Tech · 67 calls |
| 11 | VST Vistra Corp. | $139.81 | 🎯 $298 (most reliable) +113% · 4 reliable analysts Market consensus : Buy | 78% profitable Scotiabank · Utilities · 50 calls |
| 12 | CMI Cummins | $573.87 | 🎯 $901 (most reliable) +57% · 7 reliable analysts Market consensus : Buy | 80% profitable Truist Securities · Industrie · 205 calls |
| 13 | CHTR Charter Communications | $148.32 | 🎯 $380 (most reliable) +156% · 3 reliable analysts Market consensus : Hold | 76.2% profitable TD Cowen · Comm. · 42 calls |
| 14 | CIEN Ciena | $399.85 | 🎯 $720 (most reliable) +80% · 6 reliable analysts Market consensus : Buy | 72.5% profitable Rosenblatt · Tech · 545 calls |
| 15 | COHR Coherent Corp. | $295.39 | 🎯 $500 (most reliable) +69% · 4 reliable analysts Market consensus : Buy | 72.5% profitable Rosenblatt · Tech · 545 calls |
| 16 | MU Micron Technology | $935.39 | 🎯 $1400 (most reliable) +50% · 19 reliable analysts Market consensus : Buy | 81.2% profitable Wedbush · Tech · 372 calls |
| 17 | WDC Western Digital | $462.0 | 🎯 $800 (most reliable) +73% · 9 reliable analysts Market consensus : Buy | 72.5% profitable Rosenblatt · Tech · 545 calls |
| 18 | CCL Carnival Corporation | $24.95 | 🎯 $42 (most reliable) +68% · 6 reliable analysts Market consensus : Buy | 76.1% profitable Tigress Financial · Conso. disc. · 71 calls |
| 19 | BA Boeing | $209.89 | 🎯 $305 (most reliable) +45% · 4 reliable analysts Market consensus : Buy | 78.3% profitable Tigress Financial · Industrie · 23 calls |
| 20 | NVDA Nvidia | $227.98 | 🎯 $352 (most reliable) +54% · 9 reliable analysts Market consensus : Buy | 72.6% profitable Raymond James · Tech · 565 calls |
🔄 How and when it updates: recomputed on every data refresh (each trading day), last 6 years of analyst targets replayed against real prices. Last update shown at the top.
📊 Interactive version of the tool (charts, live prices, alerts) →
Frequently asked questions
Lower-risk stocks to buy?
The JPI Light (cautious) selection: for each stock we follow the single most reliable analyst on its sector when bullish. The least volatile formula — ideal to invest cautiously or get started. The full list is in the table above, updated regularly.
How is this selection built?
We analyze the analysts, not the stocks: we replay every target against real prices, keep only those who beat their sector, then apply the JPI Light (the single most reliable analyst) formula. Details on the « method » page.
Can I switch methods?
Yes: the buttons at the top switch between the 3 methods (Cautious, Balanced, Aggressive) and the stocks common to all 3 — each method has its own URL.
What is JPI Invest?
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
- 🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
- 🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 6 years, from cautious to aggressive
- 💬 AI assistant: ask anything about any stock, with the numbers
- 📊 Portfolio tracking + 🔔 price alerts by email
⚠️ Educational selection, not investment advice. S&P 500 universe, recomputed Yahoo data (point-in-time backtest). Past performance does not predict the future.