FrançaisAnalyst leaderboard: who predicts best?
| # | Analyst | Profitable calls i | Avg gain / call i | vs sector i | Calls i |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CICC | 72.7% | +37% | +23% | 11 |
| 2 | Pivotal Research | 63.5% | +21% | +7% | 96 |
| 3 | Northland Capital Markets | 60.8% | +42% | +25% | 120 |
| 4 | Craig-Hallum | 59.3% | +32% | +9% | 113 |
| 5 | Melius Research | 59.2% | +33% | +11% | 49 |
| 6 | B. Riley Securities | 57.5% | +34% | +14% | 268 |
| 7 | Roth MKM | 55.2% | +19% | +0% | 143 |
| 8 | Rosenblatt | 54.4% | +35% | +16% | 826 |
| 9 | Wedbush | 52.5% | +30% | +12% | 1101 |
| 10 | William Blair | 51.9% | +28% | +13% | 129 |
| 11 | Needham | 51.7% | +30% | +9% | 1443 |
| 12 | Ladenburg Thalmann | 50% | +15% | +8% | 32 |
| 13 | Canaccord Genuity | 49.8% | +26% | +11% | 679 |
| 14 | DA Davidson | 49.2% | +19% | +4% | 592 |
| 15 | Tigress Financial | 48.7% | +20% | +6% | 234 |
| 16 | Oppenheimer | 48.3% | +21% | +5% | 2126 |
| 17 | Daiwa Capital | 48.1% | +34% | +16% | 52 |
| 18 | Stephens & Co. | 47.5% | +18% | +4% | 583 |
| 19 | Benchmark | 47.1% | +21% | +4% | 637 |
| 20 | Gordon Haskett | 46.8% | +10% | +2% | 77 |
| 21 | Susquehanna | 46.7% | +22% | +6% | 1020 |
| 22 | Stifel | 46.6% | +21% | +7% | 2493 |
| 23 | HC Wainwright & Co. | 46.5% | +22% | +6% | 71 |
| 24 | Citigroup | 46.4% | +18% | +6% | 4853 |
| 25 | Raymond James | 45.1% | +19% | +5% | 3132 |
| 26 | Keybanc | 45.1% | +18% | +4% | 2472 |
| 27 | UBS | 45% | +18% | +6% | 3578 |
| 28 | Jefferies | 44.7% | +16% | +5% | 2636 |
| 29 | Piper Sandler | 44.7% | +19% | +5% | 2242 |
| 30 | Deutsche Bank | 44.5% | +16% | +4% | 3581 |
| 31 | Baird | 44.4% | +16% | +2% | 1876 |
| 32 | Compass Point | 44.3% | +16% | +1% | 106 |
| 33 | Leerink Partners | 44.2% | +1% | -6% | 43 |
| 34 | Bernstein | 43.7% | +14% | +4% | 604 |
| 35 | Loop Capital | 43.6% | +18% | +4% | 433 |
| 36 | BMO Capital | 43.4% | +15% | +4% | 2005 |
| 37 | B of A Securities | 42.7% | +16% | +5% | 3547 |
| 38 | Evercore ISI Group | 42.7% | +15% | +4% | 1669 |
| 39 | Goldman Sachs | 42.6% | +15% | +5% | 2674 |
| 40 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | 42.3% | +10% | +0% | 544 |
| 41 | JP Morgan | 42.2% | +14% | +4% | 4101 |
| 42 | Guggenheim | 42.2% | +13% | +3% | 728 |
| 43 | Wells Fargo | 42% | +14% | +3% | 4409 |
| 44 | Telsey Advisory Group | 41.7% | +13% | +4% | 653 |
| 45 | BTIG | 41.5% | +19% | +10% | 460 |
| 46 | RBC Capital | 41.4% | +9% | -2% | 3069 |
| 47 | Berenberg | 41.2% | +11% | +4% | 170 |
| 48 | Argus Research | 41% | +14% | +3% | 1152 |
| 49 | Truist Securities | 40.9% | +14% | +2% | 1663 |
| 50 | Seaport Global | 40.9% | +12% | +0% | 198 |
| 51 | Mizuho | 40.8% | +17% | +5% | 1968 |
| 52 | TD Cowen | 40.8% | +14% | -0% | 828 |
| 53 | Wolfe Research | 40.5% | +16% | +9% | 533 |
| 54 | Cantor Fitzgerald | 40.3% | +24% | +13% | 694 |
| 55 | HSBC | 40.1% | +16% | +7% | 267 |
| 56 | Morgan Stanley | 40.1% | +11% | +3% | 7099 |
| 57 | Barclays | 38.5% | +11% | +3% | 6159 |
| 58 | Macquarie | 37.1% | +10% | +1% | 407 |
| 59 | Scotiabank | 37.1% | +12% | -0% | 385 |
| 60 | CIBC | 36.8% | +12% | +3% | 19 |
| 61 | MoffettNathanson | 35.8% | +15% | +10% | 67 |
| 62 | GLJ Research | 28.6% | -19% | -11% | 21 |
| 63 | Barrington Research | 28.4% | +11% | -5% | 81 |
| 64 | Zelman & Assoc | 25% | +7% | -1% | 8 |
| 65 | KGI Securities | 22.2% | +6% | +3% | 9 |
Frequently asked questions
Analyst leaderboard: who predicts best?
In short — We replayed 84,038 analyst targets against real prices (point-in-time, over 1 year). Here are the 65 analysts ranked by % of profitable calls, with their average gain per call — real reliability, not reputation. Click a name for details.
How is analyst reliability measured?
We replay each analyst target at its issue date against the real price reached afterward (point-in-time), keep only matured calls, and measure the % profitable, the average gain per call and the return vs sector. No room for reputation.
What is JPI Invest?
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
- 🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
- 🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 6 years, from cautious to aggressive
- 💬 AI assistant: ask anything about any stock, with the numbers
- 📊 Portfolio tracking + 🔔 price alerts by email
⚠️ Educational, not advice. « Reliability » = past targets replayed against real prices. « Avg gain / call » = average absolute 1-year return of a call; « vs sector » = the call's outperformance vs its sector. Past performance does not predict the future.