FrançaisAnalyst leaderboard: who predicts best?
| # | Analyst | Profitable calls i | Avg gain / call i | vs sector i | Calls i |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CICC | 87.5% | +55% | +37% | 8 |
| 2 | Pivotal Research | 63.5% | +21% | +7% | 96 |
| 3 | Melius Research | 61% | +37% | +15% | 41 |
| 4 | Northland Capital Markets | 60.8% | +42% | +25% | 120 |
| 5 | Craig-Hallum | 58.9% | +32% | +9% | 112 |
| 6 | B. Riley Securities | 57% | +34% | +13% | 265 |
| 7 | Rosenblatt | 54.5% | +32% | +13% | 805 |
| 8 | Wedbush | 52.5% | +29% | +11% | 1077 |
| 9 | Needham | 52.5% | +31% | +10% | 1397 |
| 10 | Ladenburg Thalmann | 51.6% | +15% | +8% | 31 |
| 11 | William Blair | 51.6% | +27% | +13% | 124 |
| 12 | Canaccord Genuity | 50.2% | +27% | +12% | 663 |
| 13 | Tigress Financial | 49.1% | +20% | +6% | 224 |
| 14 | DA Davidson | 48.9% | +19% | +4% | 575 |
| 15 | Oppenheimer | 48.3% | +21% | +5% | 2083 |
| 16 | Benchmark | 48% | +20% | +4% | 621 |
| 17 | Stephens & Co. | 47.7% | +18% | +4% | 575 |
| 18 | Gordon Haskett | 47.4% | +11% | +2% | 76 |
| 19 | Daiwa Capital | 47.1% | +34% | +17% | 51 |
| 20 | HC Wainwright & Co. | 46.5% | +22% | +6% | 71 |
| 21 | Stifel | 46.5% | +21% | +6% | 2450 |
| 22 | Citigroup | 46.4% | +18% | +6% | 4729 |
| 23 | Susquehanna | 46.2% | +21% | +6% | 990 |
| 24 | Keybanc | 45.6% | +18% | +4% | 2422 |
| 25 | UBS | 45.3% | +18% | +5% | 3450 |
| 26 | Raymond James | 45.1% | +18% | +5% | 3078 |
| 27 | Piper Sandler | 45% | +19% | +5% | 2201 |
| 28 | Jefferies | 44.7% | +16% | +5% | 2581 |
| 29 | Deutsche Bank | 44.7% | +16% | +4% | 3562 |
| 30 | Baird | 44.6% | +17% | +2% | 1841 |
| 31 | BTIG | 44.3% | +22% | +12% | 415 |
| 32 | Bernstein | 43.8% | +13% | +3% | 576 |
| 33 | Compass Point | 43.8% | +15% | +0% | 105 |
| 34 | Seaport Global | 43.7% | +14% | +2% | 183 |
| 35 | BMO Capital | 43.5% | +16% | +4% | 1956 |
| 36 | Loop Capital | 43.4% | +17% | +3% | 429 |
| 37 | Evercore ISI Group | 43.3% | +15% | +4% | 1560 |
| 38 | Guggenheim | 43% | +14% | +4% | 698 |
| 39 | B of A Securities | 42.8% | +15% | +5% | 3450 |
| 40 | Goldman Sachs | 42.7% | +15% | +5% | 2623 |
| 41 | JP Morgan | 42.4% | +14% | +4% | 3970 |
| 42 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | 42.4% | +10% | +0% | 528 |
| 43 | Wells Fargo | 42.2% | +14% | +3% | 4249 |
| 44 | Leerink Partners | 42.1% | -1% | -5% | 38 |
| 45 | Telsey Advisory Group | 42% | +13% | +4% | 633 |
| 46 | RBC Capital | 41.7% | +10% | -2% | 3018 |
| 47 | Barrington Research | 41.6% | +26% | +10% | 77 |
| 48 | Truist Securities | 41.3% | +15% | +3% | 1597 |
| 49 | Argus Research | 41% | +14% | +3% | 1136 |
| 50 | Berenberg | 40.8% | +11% | +4% | 169 |
| 51 | Mizuho | 40.8% | +16% | +4% | 1890 |
| 52 | TD Cowen | 40.8% | +14% | -0% | 782 |
| 53 | Wolfe Research | 40.3% | +16% | +8% | 518 |
| 54 | Morgan Stanley | 40.3% | +11% | +3% | 6983 |
| 55 | Cantor Fitzgerald | 39.8% | +23% | +12% | 664 |
| 56 | HSBC | 39% | +15% | +7% | 254 |
| 57 | Barclays | 38.7% | +11% | +2% | 5981 |
| 58 | Scotiabank | 37.7% | +13% | +0% | 361 |
| 59 | Macquarie | 37.4% | +10% | +2% | 404 |
| 60 | MoffettNathanson | 36.4% | +18% | +12% | 66 |
| 61 | CIBC | 35.3% | +12% | +3% | 17 |
| 62 | Zelman & Assoc | 25% | +7% | -1% | 8 |
| 63 | KGI Securities | 22.2% | +6% | +3% | 9 |
| 64 | GLJ Research | 21.1% | -25% | -15% | 19 |
Frequently asked questions
Analyst leaderboard: who predicts best?
In short — We replayed 81,685 analyst targets against real prices (point-in-time, over 1 year). Here are the 64 analysts ranked by % of profitable calls, with their average gain per call — real reliability, not reputation. Click a name for details.
How is analyst reliability measured?
We replay each analyst target at its issue date against the real price reached afterward (point-in-time), keep only matured calls, and measure the % profitable, the average gain per call and the return vs sector. No room for reputation.
What is JPI Invest?
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
- 🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
- 🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 6 years, from cautious to aggressive
- 💬 AI assistant: ask anything about any stock, with the numbers
- 📊 Portfolio tracking + 🔔 price alerts by email
⚠️ Educational, not advice. « Reliability » = past targets replayed against real prices. « Avg gain / call » = average absolute 1-year return of a call; « vs sector » = the call's outperformance vs its sector. Past performance does not predict the future.