FrançaisAre analysts right about AeroVironment (AVAV)?
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Historical analyst accuracy
For AeroVironment, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 62% were profitable, average return +23% (61 calls). At 3 months: +1% average return (40% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) — not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| RBC Capital | 13 | 62% | +25% |
| Canaccord Genuity | 10 | 60% | +23% |
| Baird | 10 | 70% | +26% |
| Raymond James | 6 | 83% | +40% |
Frequently asked questions
Is AeroVironment a buy right now?
The analyst consensus on AeroVironment (AVAV) is "Buy" (59 bullish, 1 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 62% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
What is AeroVironment's price target?
The median 12-month price target is $225 (+48% vs $152), ranging from $166 to $250 (13 analysts).
Are analysts accurate on AeroVironment?
Over 1 year, 62% of analyst targets on AeroVironment were profitable, for an average return of +23% (across 61 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
What is the AeroVironment stock forecast?
Analysts target a median of $225 within 12 months, i.e. +48% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $250, the most cautious $166.
What is the AeroVironment stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $225, +48%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (« 2030 prediction » models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (62%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Is AeroVironment overvalued?
Detailed valuation data for AeroVironment is available in the interactive analysis.
📊 See the full interactive analysis of AeroVironment →
What is JPI Invest?
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
- 🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
- 🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 6 years, from cautious to aggressive
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⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.