FrançaisAre analysts right about AutoZone (AZO)?
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Historical analyst accuracy
For AutoZone, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 56% were profitable, average return +15% (298 calls). At 3 months: +3% average return (45% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) — not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| Citigroup | 27 | 63% | +19% |
| Wedbush | 26 | 69% | +27% |
| Wells Fargo | 23 | 56% | +23% |
| Raymond James | 22 | 59% | +16% |
| Truist Securities | 22 | 59% | +15% |
Valuation
Is AutoZone overvalued, and is it a good time to buy AutoZone right now? If you're wondering, here's a recap to make up your own mind: AutoZone's valuation vs its sector median, to weigh alongside analyst reliability (above) and past performance. Educational information, not buy advice.
The P/E (price ÷ earnings per share) = how many years of earnings you pay for the stock. The higher it is, the more growth the market expects — but the pricier the stock, so more vulnerable if growth disappoints. The forward P/E uses next year's expected earnings: lower than the current P/E = rising expected earnings. We compare it to the sector median to see whether the stock is expensive relative to its peers.
| Metric | AutoZone | Sector median (Consumer Discretionary) |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 20.6 | 19.3 |
| Forward P/E | 16.3 | 15.3 |
| Net margin | 13% | 9% |
👉 AutoZone is valued in line with its sector (20.6 vs 19.3).
📖 P/E, PEG, margin…: see the glossary
Frequently asked questions
Is AutoZone a buy right now?
The analyst consensus on AutoZone (AZO) is "Buy" (51 bullish, 0 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 56% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
What is AutoZone's price target?
The median 12-month price target is $3,500 (+12% vs $3,137), ranging from $3,000 to $3,850 (17 analysts).
Are analysts accurate on AutoZone?
Over 1 year, 56% of analyst targets on AutoZone were profitable, for an average return of +15% (across 298 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
What is the AutoZone stock forecast?
Analysts target a median of $3,500 within 12 months, i.e. +12% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $3,850, the most cautious $3,000.
What is the AutoZone stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $3,500, +12%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (« 2030 prediction » models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (56%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Is AutoZone overvalued?
Its P/E is 20.6, forward P/E 16.3. A forward P/E lower than the current P/E means earnings are expected to grow.
📊 See the full interactive analysis of AutoZone →
What is JPI Invest?
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
- 🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
- 🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 6 years, from cautious to aggressive
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- 📊 Portfolio tracking + 🔔 price alerts by email
⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.