FrançaisAre analysts right about The Cheesecake Factory, Inc. (CAKE)?
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Historical analyst accuracy
For The Cheesecake Factory, Inc., we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 35% were profitable, average return +3% (154 calls). At 3 months: +2% average return (42% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) — not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barclays | 24 | 12% | -16% |
| Wedbush | 23 | 48% | +12% |
| Stephens & Co. | 21 | 48% | +1% |
| Morgan Stanley | 20 | 15% | -19% |
| Raymond James | 10 | 40% | +5% |
Frequently asked questions
Is The Cheesecake Factory, Inc. a buy right now?
The analyst consensus on The Cheesecake Factory, Inc. (CAKE) is "Buy" (13 bullish, 5 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 35% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
What is The Cheesecake Factory, Inc.'s price target?
The median 12-month price target is $73.50 (-33% vs $110), ranging from $72.00 to $75.00 (2 analysts).
Are analysts accurate on The Cheesecake Factory, Inc.?
Over 1 year, 35% of analyst targets on The Cheesecake Factory, Inc. were profitable, for an average return of +3% (across 154 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
What is the The Cheesecake Factory, Inc. stock forecast?
Analysts target a median of $73.50 within 12 months, i.e. -33% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $75.00, the most cautious $72.00.
What is the The Cheesecake Factory, Inc. stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $73.50, -33%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (« 2030 prediction » models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (35%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Is The Cheesecake Factory, Inc. overvalued?
Detailed valuation data for The Cheesecake Factory, Inc. is available in the interactive analysis.
📊 See the full interactive analysis of The Cheesecake Factory, Inc. →
What is JPI Invest?
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
- 🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
- 🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 6 years, from cautious to aggressive
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⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.