FrançaisAre analysts right about CarGurus (CARG)?
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Historical analyst accuracy
For CarGurus, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 35% were profitable, average return +5% (113 calls). At 3 months: +4% average return (48% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) — not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| Needham | 20 | 40% | +7% |
| RBC Capital | 14 | 29% | -7% |
| JMP Securities | 11 | 46% | +10% |
| Raymond James | 10 | 50% | +2% |
| BTIG | 9 | 22% | +16% |
Frequently asked questions
Is CarGurus a buy right now?
The analyst consensus on CarGurus (CARG) is "Buy" (17 bullish, 0 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 35% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
What is CarGurus's price target?
The median 12-month price target is $40.00 (+23% vs $32.50), ranging from $35.00 to $44.00 (9 analysts).
Are analysts accurate on CarGurus?
Over 1 year, 35% of analyst targets on CarGurus were profitable, for an average return of +5% (across 113 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
What is the CarGurus stock forecast?
Analysts target a median of $40.00 within 12 months, i.e. +23% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $44.00, the most cautious $35.00.
What is the CarGurus stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $40.00, +23%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (« 2030 prediction » models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (35%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Is CarGurus overvalued?
Detailed valuation data for CarGurus is available in the interactive analysis.
📊 See the full interactive analysis of CarGurus →
What is JPI Invest?
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
- 🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
- 🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 6 years, from cautious to aggressive
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⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.