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Are analysts right about CareTrust REIT (CTRE)?

Real Estate Β· price $39.36 Β· median target $43.00 (+9%)
In short β€” Over the past 12 months, 55% of analyst price targets on CareTrust REIT turned out profitable, for an average return of +18% (across 53 timestamped calls). The current consensus is "Buy" with a median price target of $43.00 (+9% vs the current $39.36, from 5 analysts).

πŸ“ˆ See the interactive version (live chart) β†’

πŸ”— Related pages on CareTrust REIT β€” Financials & fundamentals  Β·  If I had invested  Β·  Dividend
Current price
$39.36
Median target (12 mo)
$43.00 +9%
Analyst accuracy (1 yr)
55%
Avg return / call (1 yr)
+18%
πŸ’° Performance & Β« if I invested Β» πŸ“Š Interactive analysis

Historical analyst accuracy

For CareTrust REIT, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 55% were profitable, average return +18% (53 calls). At 3 months: +6% average return (58% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.

Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)

Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) β€” not a forecast of what will happen.

Analyst / brokerCalls i% profitable iAvg return i
Keybanc1164%+21%
Raymond James862%+19%
Wells Fargo862%+30%
RBC Capital771%+24%
BMO Capital633%+14%

Valuation

Is CareTrust REIT overvalued, and is it a good time to buy CareTrust REIT right now? If you're wondering, here's a recap to make up your own mind: CareTrust REIT's valuation vs its sector median, to weigh alongside analyst reliability (above) and past performance. Educational information, not buy advice.

The P/E (price Γ· earnings per share) = how many years of earnings you pay for the stock. The higher it is, the more growth the market expects β€” but the pricier the stock, so more vulnerable if growth disappoints. The forward P/E uses next year's expected earnings: lower than the current P/E = rising expected earnings. We compare it to the sector median to see whether the stock is expensive relative to its peers.

MetricCareTrust REITSector median (Real Estate)
P/E24.929.5
Forward P/E22.234.2
Net margin62%25%

πŸ‘‰ CareTrust REIT trades below its sector median (24.9 vs 29.5) β€” potentially undervalued, or lower expected growth.

πŸ“– P/E, PEG, margin…: see the glossary

πŸ’΅ Dividend : CareTrust REIT pays about $1.45/share/yr β†’ 3.55% yield. what is this?

Frequently asked questions

Is CareTrust REIT a buy right now?

The analyst consensus on CareTrust REIT (CTRE) is "Buy" (14 bullish, 0 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 55% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.

What is CareTrust REIT's price target?

The median 12-month price target is $43.00 (+9% vs $39.36), ranging from $42.00 to $47.00 (5 analysts).

Are analysts accurate on CareTrust REIT?

Over 1 year, 55% of analyst targets on CareTrust REIT were profitable, for an average return of +18% (across 53 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.

What is the CareTrust REIT stock forecast?

Analysts target a median of $43.00 within 12 months, i.e. +9% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $47.00, the most cautious $42.00.

What is the CareTrust REIT stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?

Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $43.00, +9%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (Β« 2030 prediction Β» models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (55%), and the stock's past trajectory.

Is CareTrust REIT overvalued?

Its P/E is 24.9, forward P/E 22.2. A forward P/E lower than the current P/E means earnings are expected to grow.

πŸ“Š See the full interactive analysis of CareTrust REIT β†’

What is JPI Invest?

JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best β€” on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.

Explore JPI Invest for free β†’ How it works: the method β†’

⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.