FrançaisAre analysts right about D. R. Horton (DHI)?
📈 See the interactive version (live chart) →
Historical analyst accuracy
For D. R. Horton, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 49% were profitable, average return +21% (235 calls). At 3 months: +6% average return (51% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) — not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barclays | 31 | 45% | +17% |
| Raymond James | 19 | 47% | +18% |
| Citigroup | 16 | 69% | +35% |
| JMP Securities | 16 | 56% | +21% |
| RBC Capital | 14 | 21% | -4% |
Valuation
Is D. R. Horton overvalued, and is it a good time to buy D. R. Horton right now? If you're wondering, here's a recap to make up your own mind: D. R. Horton's valuation vs its sector median, to weigh alongside analyst reliability (above) and past performance. Educational information, not buy advice.
The P/E (price ÷ earnings per share) = how many years of earnings you pay for the stock. The higher it is, the more growth the market expects — but the pricier the stock, so more vulnerable if growth disappoints. The forward P/E uses next year's expected earnings: lower than the current P/E = rising expected earnings. We compare it to the sector median to see whether the stock is expensive relative to its peers.
| Metric | D. R. Horton | Sector median (Consumer Discretionary) |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 14.2 | 19.9 |
| Forward P/E | 12.3 | 14.4 |
| Net margin | 9% | 9% |
👉 D. R. Horton trades below its sector median (14.2 vs 19.9) — potentially undervalued, or lower expected growth.
📖 P/E, PEG, margin…: see the glossary
💵 Dividend : D. R. Horton pays about $1.75/share/yr → 1.11% yield. what is this?
Frequently asked questions
Is D. R. Horton a buy right now?
The analyst consensus on D. R. Horton (DHI) is "Hold" (8 bullish, 3 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 49% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
What is D. R. Horton's price target?
The median 12-month price target is $167 (+15% vs $145), ranging from $125 to $206 (9 analysts).
Are analysts accurate on D. R. Horton?
Over 1 year, 49% of analyst targets on D. R. Horton were profitable, for an average return of +21% (across 235 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
What is the D. R. Horton stock forecast?
Analysts target a median of $167 within 12 months, i.e. +15% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $206, the most cautious $125.
What is the D. R. Horton stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $167, +15%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (« 2030 prediction » models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (49%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Is D. R. Horton overvalued?
Its P/E is 14.2, forward P/E 12.3. A forward P/E lower than the current P/E means earnings are expected to grow.
📊 See the full interactive analysis of D. R. Horton →
What is JPI Invest?
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
- 🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
- 🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 6 years, from cautious to aggressive
- 💬 AI assistant: ask anything about any stock, with the numbers
- 📊 Portfolio tracking + 🔔 price alerts by email
⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.