FrançaisAre analysts right about Freeport-McMoRan (FCX)?
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Historical analyst accuracy
For Freeport-McMoRan, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 40% were profitable, average return +31% (165 calls). At 3 months: +6% average return (47% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) — not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Stanley | 16 | 44% | +75% |
| Deutsche Bank | 15 | 40% | +35% |
| Citigroup | 13 | 31% | +22% |
| B of A Securities | 12 | 50% | +41% |
| Scotiabank | 12 | 50% | +42% |
Valuation
Is Freeport-McMoRan overvalued, and is it a good time to buy Freeport-McMoRan right now? If you're wondering, here's a recap to make up your own mind: Freeport-McMoRan's valuation vs its sector median, to weigh alongside analyst reliability (above) and past performance. Educational information, not buy advice.
The P/E (price ÷ earnings per share) = how many years of earnings you pay for the stock. The higher it is, the more growth the market expects — but the pricier the stock, so more vulnerable if growth disappoints. The forward P/E uses next year's expected earnings: lower than the current P/E = rising expected earnings. We compare it to the sector median to see whether the stock is expensive relative to its peers.
| Metric | Freeport-McMoRan | Sector median (Materials) |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 27.8 | 20.6 |
| Forward P/E | 15.2 | 14.3 |
| Net margin | 13% | 8% |
👉 Freeport-McMoRan trades above its sector median (27.8 vs 20.6) — the market expects higher growth; watch out for disappointment.
📖 P/E, PEG, margin…: see the glossary
💵 Dividend : Freeport-McMoRan pays about $0.60/share/yr → 0.99% yield. what is this?
Frequently asked questions
Is Freeport-McMoRan a buy right now?
The analyst consensus on Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) is "Buy" (40 bullish, 0 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 40% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
What is Freeport-McMoRan's price target?
The median 12-month price target is $80.00 (+21% vs $66.14), ranging from $47.00 to $90.00 (11 analysts).
Are analysts accurate on Freeport-McMoRan?
Over 1 year, 40% of analyst targets on Freeport-McMoRan were profitable, for an average return of +31% (across 165 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
What is the Freeport-McMoRan stock forecast?
Analysts target a median of $80.00 within 12 months, i.e. +21% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $90.00, the most cautious $47.00.
What is the Freeport-McMoRan stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $80.00, +21%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (« 2030 prediction » models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (40%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Is Freeport-McMoRan overvalued?
Its P/E is 27.8, forward P/E 15.2. A forward P/E lower than the current P/E means earnings are expected to grow.
📊 See the full interactive analysis of Freeport-McMoRan →
What is JPI Invest?
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
- 🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
- 🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 6 years, from cautious to aggressive
- 💬 AI assistant: ask anything about any stock, with the numbers
- 📊 Portfolio tracking + 🔔 price alerts by email
⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.