FrançaisAre analysts right about Howmet Aerospace (HWM)?
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Historical analyst accuracy
For Howmet Aerospace, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 94% were profitable, average return +67% (117 calls). At 3 months: +11% average return (68% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) — not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| Keybanc | 22 | 82% | +53% |
| Truist Securities | 12 | 100% | +77% |
| Wells Fargo | 10 | 90% | +60% |
| Barclays | 9 | 100% | +87% |
| Morgan Stanley | 9 | 100% | +51% |
Valuation
Is Howmet Aerospace overvalued, and is it a good time to buy Howmet Aerospace right now? If you're wondering, here's a recap to make up your own mind: Howmet Aerospace's valuation vs its sector median, to weigh alongside analyst reliability (above) and past performance. Educational information, not buy advice.
The P/E (price ÷ earnings per share) = how many years of earnings you pay for the stock. The higher it is, the more growth the market expects — but the pricier the stock, so more vulnerable if growth disappoints. The forward P/E uses next year's expected earnings: lower than the current P/E = rising expected earnings. We compare it to the sector median to see whether the stock is expensive relative to its peers.
| Metric | Howmet Aerospace | Sector median (Industrials) |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 44.4 | 26.9 |
| Forward P/E | 31.7 | 18.7 |
| Net margin | 21% | 11% |
👉 Howmet Aerospace trades above its sector median (44.4 vs 26.9) — the market expects higher growth; watch out for disappointment.
📖 P/E, PEG, margin…: see the glossary
💵 Dividend : Howmet Aerospace pays about $0.48/share/yr → 0.18% yield. what is this?
Frequently asked questions
Is Howmet Aerospace a buy right now?
The analyst consensus on Howmet Aerospace (HWM) is "Buy" (34 bullish, 0 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 94% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
What is Howmet Aerospace's price target?
The median 12-month price target is $334 (+62% vs $206), ranging from $255 to $350 (12 analysts).
Are analysts accurate on Howmet Aerospace?
Over 1 year, 94% of analyst targets on Howmet Aerospace were profitable, for an average return of +67% (across 117 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
What is the Howmet Aerospace stock forecast?
Analysts target a median of $334 within 12 months, i.e. +62% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $350, the most cautious $255.
What is the Howmet Aerospace stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $334, +62%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (« 2030 prediction » models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (94%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Is Howmet Aerospace overvalued?
Its P/E is 44.4, forward P/E 31.7. A forward P/E lower than the current P/E means earnings are expected to grow.
📊 See the full interactive analysis of Howmet Aerospace →
What is JPI Invest?
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
- 🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
- 🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 6 years, from cautious to aggressive
- 💬 AI assistant: ask anything about any stock, with the numbers
- 📊 Portfolio tracking + 🔔 price alerts by email
⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.