FrançaisAre analysts right about MP Materials (MP)?
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Historical analyst accuracy
For MP Materials, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 44% were profitable, average return +47% (55 calls). At 3 months: +3% average return (31% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) — not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Stanley | 15 | 27% | -3% |
| Canaccord Genuity | 8 | 38% | +77% |
| Baird | 6 | 67% | +133% |
| Jefferies | 6 | 17% | -6% |
| DA Davidson | 5 | 40% | +65% |
Frequently asked questions
Is MP Materials a buy right now?
The analyst consensus on MP Materials (MP) is "Buy" (27 bullish, 0 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 44% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
What is MP Materials's price target?
The median 12-month price target is $71.50 (+21% vs $59.03), ranging from $60.00 to $100 (7 analysts).
Are analysts accurate on MP Materials?
Over 1 year, 44% of analyst targets on MP Materials were profitable, for an average return of +47% (across 55 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
What is the MP Materials stock forecast?
Analysts target a median of $71.50 within 12 months, i.e. +21% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $100, the most cautious $60.00.
What is the MP Materials stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $71.50, +21%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (« 2030 prediction » models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (44%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Is MP Materials overvalued?
Detailed valuation data for MP Materials is available in the interactive analysis.
📊 See the full interactive analysis of MP Materials →
What is JPI Invest?
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
- 🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
- 🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 6 years, from cautious to aggressive
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- 📊 Portfolio tracking + 🔔 price alerts by email
⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.