FrançaisAre analysts right about Match Group (MTCH)?
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Historical analyst accuracy
For Match Group, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 38% were profitable, average return +6% (169 calls). At 3 months: +1% average return (46% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) — not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| Keybanc | 20 | 10% | -19% |
| Deutsche Bank | 13 | 46% | +8% |
| Morgan Stanley | 13 | 31% | -8% |
| RBC Capital | 10 | 10% | -12% |
| Citigroup | 9 | 78% | +55% |
Frequently asked questions
Is Match Group a buy right now?
The analyst consensus on Match Group (MTCH) is "Hold" (6 bullish, 0 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 38% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
What is Match Group's price target?
The median 12-month price target is $41.00 (-0% vs $41.22), ranging from $38.00 to $51.00 (8 analysts).
Are analysts accurate on Match Group?
Over 1 year, 38% of analyst targets on Match Group were profitable, for an average return of +6% (across 169 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
What is the Match Group stock forecast?
Analysts target a median of $41.00 within 12 months, i.e. -0% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $51.00, the most cautious $38.00.
What is the Match Group stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $41.00, -0%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (« 2030 prediction » models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (38%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Is Match Group overvalued?
Detailed valuation data for Match Group is available in the interactive analysis.
📊 See the full interactive analysis of Match Group →
What is JPI Invest?
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
- 🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
- 🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 6 years, from cautious to aggressive
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- 📊 Portfolio tracking + 🔔 price alerts by email
⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.