FrançaisAre analysts right about Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NCLH)?
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Historical analyst accuracy
For Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 28% were profitable, average return +2% (170 calls). At 3 months: +3% average return (46% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) — not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stifel | 18 | 39% | +16% |
| Morgan Stanley | 18 | 33% | -15% |
| Citigroup | 14 | 36% | +5% |
| Barclays | 11 | 9% | -6% |
| Nomura | 10 | 40% | +11% |
Valuation
Is Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings overvalued, and is it a good time to buy Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings right now? If you're wondering, here's a recap to make up your own mind: Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings's valuation vs its sector median, to weigh alongside analyst reliability (above) and past performance. Educational information, not buy advice.
The P/E (price ÷ earnings per share) = how many years of earnings you pay for the stock. The higher it is, the more growth the market expects — but the pricier the stock, so more vulnerable if growth disappoints. The forward P/E uses next year's expected earnings: lower than the current P/E = rising expected earnings. We compare it to the sector median to see whether the stock is expensive relative to its peers.
| Metric | Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings | Sector median (Consumer Discretionary) |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 10.1 | 19.9 |
| Forward P/E | 9.8 | 14.4 |
| Net margin | 7% | 9% |
👉 Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings trades below its sector median (10.1 vs 19.9) — potentially undervalued, or lower expected growth.
📖 P/E, PEG, margin…: see the glossary
Frequently asked questions
Is Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings a buy right now?
The analyst consensus on Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NCLH) is "Hold" (39 bullish, 0 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 28% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
What is Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings's price target?
The median 12-month price target is $21.00 (+26% vs $16.65), ranging from $15.00 to $32.00 (19 analysts).
Are analysts accurate on Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings?
Over 1 year, 28% of analyst targets on Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings were profitable, for an average return of +2% (across 170 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
What is the Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings stock forecast?
Analysts target a median of $21.00 within 12 months, i.e. +26% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $32.00, the most cautious $15.00.
What is the Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $21.00, +26%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (« 2030 prediction » models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (28%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Is Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings overvalued?
Its P/E is 10.1, forward P/E 9.8. A forward P/E lower than the current P/E means earnings are expected to grow.
📊 See the full interactive analysis of Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings →
What is JPI Invest?
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
- 🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
- 🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 6 years, from cautious to aggressive
- 💬 AI assistant: ask anything about any stock, with the numbers
- 📊 Portfolio tracking + 🔔 price alerts by email
⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.