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For Napco Security Technologies, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 50% were profitable, average return +21% (58 calls). At 3 months: +4% average return (45% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) β not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| Needham | 26 | 65% | +28% |
| Lake Street | 6 | 17% | +1% |
| Canaccord Genuity | 5 | 40% | +9% |
| Craig-Hallum | 5 | 80% | +57% |
| DA Davidson | 5 | 20% | -7% |
The analyst consensus on Napco Security Technologies (NSSC) is "Buy" (12 bullish, 0 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 50% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
The median 12-month price target is $52.00 (+47% vs $35.28), ranging from $49.00 to $53.00 (3 analysts).
Over 1 year, 50% of analyst targets on Napco Security Technologies were profitable, for an average return of +21% (across 58 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
Analysts target a median of $52.00 within 12 months, i.e. +47% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $53.00, the most cautious $49.00.
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $52.00, +47%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (Β« 2030 prediction Β» models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (50%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Detailed valuation data for Napco Security Technologies is available in the interactive analysis.
π See the full interactive analysis of Napco Security Technologies β
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best β on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
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β οΈ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.