FrançaisAre analysts right about NXP Semiconductors (NXPI)?
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Historical analyst accuracy
For NXP Semiconductors, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 54% were profitable, average return +23% (262 calls). At 3 months: +4% average return (44% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) — not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| Needham | 24 | 58% | +32% |
| Barclays | 18 | 61% | +24% |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | 18 | 17% | -4% |
| Morgan Stanley | 16 | 75% | +52% |
| Raymond James | 15 | 60% | +24% |
Valuation
Is NXP Semiconductors overvalued, and is it a good time to buy NXP Semiconductors right now? If you're wondering, here's a recap to make up your own mind: NXP Semiconductors's valuation vs its sector median, to weigh alongside analyst reliability (above) and past performance. Educational information, not buy advice.
The P/E (price ÷ earnings per share) = how many years of earnings you pay for the stock. The higher it is, the more growth the market expects — but the pricier the stock, so more vulnerable if growth disappoints. The forward P/E uses next year's expected earnings: lower than the current P/E = rising expected earnings. We compare it to the sector median to see whether the stock is expensive relative to its peers.
| Metric | NXP Semiconductors | Sector median (Information Technology) |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 19.3 | 39.4 |
| Forward P/E | 12.5 | 20.6 |
| Net margin | 23% | 16% |
👉 NXP Semiconductors trades below its sector median (19.3 vs 39.4) — potentially undervalued, or lower expected growth.
📖 P/E, PEG, margin…: see the glossary
💵 Dividend : NXP Semiconductors pays about $4.06/share/yr → 1.45% yield. what is this?
Frequently asked questions
Is NXP Semiconductors a buy right now?
The analyst consensus on NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) is "Buy" (31 bullish, 2 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 54% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
What is NXP Semiconductors's price target?
The median 12-month price target is $300 (+33% vs $226), ranging from $190 to $400 (19 analysts).
Are analysts accurate on NXP Semiconductors?
Over 1 year, 54% of analyst targets on NXP Semiconductors were profitable, for an average return of +23% (across 262 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
What is the NXP Semiconductors stock forecast?
Analysts target a median of $300 within 12 months, i.e. +33% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $400, the most cautious $190.
What is the NXP Semiconductors stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $300, +33%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (« 2030 prediction » models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (54%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Is NXP Semiconductors overvalued?
Its P/E is 19.3, forward P/E 12.5. A forward P/E lower than the current P/E means earnings are expected to grow.
📊 See the full interactive analysis of NXP Semiconductors →
What is JPI Invest?
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
- 🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
- 🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 6 years, from cautious to aggressive
- 💬 AI assistant: ask anything about any stock, with the numbers
- 📊 Portfolio tracking + 🔔 price alerts by email
⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.