FrançaisAre analysts right about Old Dominion (ODFL)?
📈 See the interactive version (live chart) →
Historical analyst accuracy
For Old Dominion, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 49% were profitable, average return +15% (164 calls). At 3 months: +6% average return (54% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) — not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| Keybanc | 22 | 54% | +30% |
| Raymond James | 21 | 52% | +13% |
| Morgan Stanley | 20 | 65% | +41% |
| Wells Fargo | 18 | 50% | +11% |
| B of A Securities | 11 | 18% | -27% |
Valuation
Is Old Dominion overvalued, and is it a good time to buy Old Dominion right now? If you're wondering, here's a recap to make up your own mind: Old Dominion's valuation vs its sector median, to weigh alongside analyst reliability (above) and past performance. Educational information, not buy advice.
The P/E (price ÷ earnings per share) = how many years of earnings you pay for the stock. The higher it is, the more growth the market expects — but the pricier the stock, so more vulnerable if growth disappoints. The forward P/E uses next year's expected earnings: lower than the current P/E = rising expected earnings. We compare it to the sector median to see whether the stock is expensive relative to its peers.
| Metric | Old Dominion | Sector median (Industrials) |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 38.3 | 29.2 |
| Forward P/E | 30.1 | 19.5 |
| Net margin | 19% | 11% |
👉 Old Dominion trades above its sector median (38.3 vs 29.2) — the market expects higher growth; watch out for disappointment.
📖 P/E, PEG, margin…: see the glossary
💵 Dividend : Old Dominion pays about $1.14/share/yr → 0.52% yield. what is this?
Frequently asked questions
Is Old Dominion a buy right now?
The analyst consensus on Old Dominion (ODFL) is "Hold" (24 bullish, 4 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 49% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
What is Old Dominion's price target?
The median 12-month price target is $238 (+19% vs $200), ranging from $194 to $263 (16 analysts).
Are analysts accurate on Old Dominion?
Over 1 year, 49% of analyst targets on Old Dominion were profitable, for an average return of +15% (across 164 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
What is the Old Dominion stock forecast?
Analysts target a median of $238 within 12 months, i.e. +19% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $263, the most cautious $194.
What is the Old Dominion stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $238, +19%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (« 2030 prediction » models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (49%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Is Old Dominion overvalued?
Its P/E is 38.3, forward P/E 30.1. A forward P/E lower than the current P/E means earnings are expected to grow.
📊 See the full interactive analysis of Old Dominion →
What is JPI Invest?
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
- 🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
- 🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 6 years, from cautious to aggressive
- 💬 AI assistant: ask anything about any stock, with the numbers
- 📊 Portfolio tracking + 🔔 price alerts by email
⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.