Are analysts right about Papa John's Pizza (PZZA)?

Consumer Discretionary · price $23.23 · median target $28.00 (+20%)

In short — Over the past 12 months, 28% of analyst price targets on Papa John's Pizza turned out profitable, for an average return of -1% (across 166 timestamped calls). The current consensus is "Hold" with a median price target of $28.00 (+20% vs the current $23.23, from 5 analysts).

📈 See the interactive version (live chart) →

🔗 Related pages on Papa John's Pizza — Financials & fundamentals · If I had invested

Current price

$23.23

Median target (12 mo)

$28.00 +20%

Analyst accuracy (1 yr)

28%

Avg return / call (1 yr)

-1%

💰 Performance & « if I invested » 📊 Interactive analysis

Historical analyst accuracy

For Papa John's Pizza, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 28% were profitable, average return -1% (166 calls). At 3 months: +0% average return (39% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.

Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)

Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) — not a forecast of what will happen.

Analyst / broker	Calls i	% profitable i	Avg return i
Stephens & Co.	37	19%	-10%
Wedbush	27	22%	-8%
Keybanc	23	22%	-8%
Credit Suisse	13	46%	+9%
Stifel	10	40%	+8%

Frequently asked questions

Is Papa John's Pizza a buy right now?

The analyst consensus on Papa John's Pizza (PZZA) is "Hold" (8 bullish, 1 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 28% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.

What is Papa John's Pizza's price target?

The median 12-month price target is $28.00 (+20% vs $23.23), ranging from $24.00 to $34.00 (5 analysts).

Are analysts accurate on Papa John's Pizza?

Over 1 year, 28% of analyst targets on Papa John's Pizza were profitable, for an average return of -1% (across 166 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.

What is the Papa John's Pizza stock forecast?

Analysts target a median of $28.00 within 12 months, i.e. +20% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $34.00, the most cautious $24.00.

What is the Papa John's Pizza stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?

Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $28.00, +20%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (« 2030 prediction » models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (28%), and the stock's past trajectory.

Is Papa John's Pizza overvalued?

Detailed valuation data for Papa John's Pizza is available in the interactive analysis.

📊 See the full interactive analysis of Papa John's Pizza →

What is JPI Invest?

JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.

🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 6 years, from cautious to aggressive
💬 AI assistant: ask anything about any stock, with the numbers
📊 Portfolio tracking + 🔔 price alerts by email

Explore JPI Invest for free → How it works: the method →

⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.