FrançaisAre analysts right about Supermicro (SMCI)?
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Historical analyst accuracy
For Supermicro, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 46% were profitable, average return +38% (59 calls). At 3 months: -2% average return (42% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) — not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rosenblatt | 9 | 56% | +66% |
| Susquehanna | 7 | 57% | +53% |
| Stifel | 6 | 50% | +25% |
| Loop Capital | 6 | 67% | +134% |
| Northland Capital Markets | 6 | 67% | +121% |
Valuation
Is Supermicro overvalued, and is it a good time to buy Supermicro right now? If you're wondering, here's a recap to make up your own mind: Supermicro's valuation vs its sector median, to weigh alongside analyst reliability (above) and past performance. Educational information, not buy advice.
The P/E (price ÷ earnings per share) = how many years of earnings you pay for the stock. The higher it is, the more growth the market expects — but the pricier the stock, so more vulnerable if growth disappoints. The forward P/E uses next year's expected earnings: lower than the current P/E = rising expected earnings. We compare it to the sector median to see whether the stock is expensive relative to its peers.
| Metric | Supermicro | Sector median (Information Technology) |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 11.5 | 39.4 |
| Forward P/E | 7.2 | 20.6 |
| Net margin | 6% | 16% |
👉 Supermicro trades below its sector median (11.5 vs 39.4) — potentially undervalued, or lower expected growth.
📖 P/E, PEG, margin…: see the glossary
Frequently asked questions
Is Supermicro a buy right now?
The analyst consensus on Supermicro (SMCI) is "Hold" (0 bullish, 0 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 46% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
What is Supermicro's price target?
The median 12-month price target is $42.38 (+10% vs $38.46), ranging from $15.00 to $60.00 (16 analysts).
Are analysts accurate on Supermicro?
Over 1 year, 46% of analyst targets on Supermicro were profitable, for an average return of +38% (across 59 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
What is the Supermicro stock forecast?
Analysts target a median of $42.38 within 12 months, i.e. +10% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $60.00, the most cautious $15.00.
What is the Supermicro stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $42.38, +10%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (« 2030 prediction » models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (46%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Is Supermicro overvalued?
Its P/E is 11.5, forward P/E 7.2. A forward P/E lower than the current P/E means earnings are expected to grow.
📊 See the full interactive analysis of Supermicro →
What is JPI Invest?
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
- 🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
- 🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 6 years, from cautious to aggressive
- 💬 AI assistant: ask anything about any stock, with the numbers
- 📊 Portfolio tracking + 🔔 price alerts by email
⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.