FrançaisAre analysts right about Texas Instruments (TXN)?
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Historical analyst accuracy
For Texas Instruments, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 34% were profitable, average return +8% (284 calls). At 3 months: +2% average return (38% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) — not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Stanley | 30 | 3% | -13% |
| Susquehanna | 25 | 32% | +13% |
| Jefferies | 24 | 33% | +14% |
| Citigroup | 18 | 72% | +26% |
| Rosenblatt | 18 | 33% | +18% |
Valuation
Is Texas Instruments overvalued, and is it a good time to buy Texas Instruments right now? If you're wondering, here's a recap to make up your own mind: Texas Instruments's valuation vs its sector median, to weigh alongside analyst reliability (above) and past performance. Educational information, not buy advice.
The P/E (price ÷ earnings per share) = how many years of earnings you pay for the stock. The higher it is, the more growth the market expects — but the pricier the stock, so more vulnerable if growth disappoints. The forward P/E uses next year's expected earnings: lower than the current P/E = rising expected earnings. We compare it to the sector median to see whether the stock is expensive relative to its peers.
| Metric | Texas Instruments | Sector median (Information Technology) |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 40.6 | 39.4 |
| Forward P/E | 25.0 | 20.6 |
| Net margin | 31% | 16% |
👉 Texas Instruments is valued in line with its sector (40.6 vs 39.4).
📖 P/E, PEG, margin…: see the glossary
💵 Dividend : Texas Instruments pays about $5.62/share/yr → 1.88% yield. what is this?
Frequently asked questions
Is Texas Instruments a buy right now?
The analyst consensus on Texas Instruments (TXN) is "Buy" (41 bullish, 10 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 34% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
What is Texas Instruments's price target?
The median 12-month price target is $340 (+28% vs $267), ranging from $225 to $400 (22 analysts).
Are analysts accurate on Texas Instruments?
Over 1 year, 34% of analyst targets on Texas Instruments were profitable, for an average return of +8% (across 284 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
What is the Texas Instruments stock forecast?
Analysts target a median of $340 within 12 months, i.e. +28% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $400, the most cautious $225.
What is the Texas Instruments stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $340, +28%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (« 2030 prediction » models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (34%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Is Texas Instruments overvalued?
Its P/E is 40.6, forward P/E 25.0. A forward P/E lower than the current P/E means earnings are expected to grow.
📊 See the full interactive analysis of Texas Instruments →
What is JPI Invest?
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
- 🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
- 🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 6 years, from cautious to aggressive
- 💬 AI assistant: ask anything about any stock, with the numbers
- 📊 Portfolio tracking + 🔔 price alerts by email
⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.