FrançaisAre analysts right about US Foods (USFD)?
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Historical analyst accuracy
For US Foods, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 66% were profitable, average return +25% (98 calls). At 3 months: +4% average return (43% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) — not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| Credit Suisse | 12 | 58% | +30% |
| Morgan Stanley | 10 | 70% | +24% |
| Truist Securities | 9 | 78% | +32% |
| Barclays | 8 | 62% | +27% |
| Wells Fargo | 7 | 86% | +47% |
Valuation
Is US Foods overvalued, and is it a good time to buy US Foods right now? If you're wondering, here's a recap to make up your own mind: US Foods's valuation vs its sector median, to weigh alongside analyst reliability (above) and past performance. Educational information, not buy advice.
The P/E (price ÷ earnings per share) = how many years of earnings you pay for the stock. The higher it is, the more growth the market expects — but the pricier the stock, so more vulnerable if growth disappoints. The forward P/E uses next year's expected earnings: lower than the current P/E = rising expected earnings. We compare it to the sector median to see whether the stock is expensive relative to its peers.
| Metric | US Foods | Sector median (Consumer Staples) |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 33.4 | 24.4 |
| Forward P/E | 19.5 | 15.6 |
| Net margin | 2% | 7% |
👉 US Foods trades above its sector median (33.4 vs 24.4) — the market expects higher growth; watch out for disappointment.
📖 P/E, PEG, margin…: see the glossary
Frequently asked questions
Is US Foods a buy right now?
The analyst consensus on US Foods (USFD) is "Buy" (21 bullish, 0 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 66% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
What is US Foods's price target?
The median 12-month price target is $120 (+11% vs $108), ranging from $90.00 to $127 (9 analysts).
Are analysts accurate on US Foods?
Over 1 year, 66% of analyst targets on US Foods were profitable, for an average return of +25% (across 98 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
What is the US Foods stock forecast?
Analysts target a median of $120 within 12 months, i.e. +11% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $127, the most cautious $90.00.
What is the US Foods stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $120, +11%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (« 2030 prediction » models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (66%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Is US Foods overvalued?
Its P/E is 33.4, forward P/E 19.5. A forward P/E lower than the current P/E means earnings are expected to grow.
📊 See the full interactive analysis of US Foods →
What is JPI Invest?
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
- 🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
- 🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 6 years, from cautious to aggressive
- 💬 AI assistant: ask anything about any stock, with the numbers
- 📊 Portfolio tracking + 🔔 price alerts by email
⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.