FranΓ§aisThese stocks were not cherry-picked in hindsight: they are the ones the method would have selected using only info known by end of 2024 (price targets from reliable analysts in the prior ~90 days), then held unchanged for 12 months. A true point-in-time record.
| # | Stock | 12-month return |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | WDC Western Digital | +282% |
| 2 | MU Micron Technology | +239% |
| 3 | NEM Newmont | +168% |
| 4 | AMD Advanced Micro Devices | +77% |
| 5 | CVS CVS Health | +77% |
| 6 | ALB Albemarle Corporation | +64% |
| 7 | MPWR Monolithic Power Systems | +53% |
| 8 | FSLR First Solar | +48% |
| 9 | HAS Hasbro | +47% |
| 10 | UBER Uber | +36% |
| 11 | AMGN Amgen | +26% |
| 12 | LDOS Leidos | +25% |
| 13 | BIIB Biogen | +15% |
| 14 | DVN Devon Energy | +12% |
| 15 | MCHP Microchip Technology | +11% |
| 16 | REGN Regeneron Pharmaceuticals | +8% |
| 17 | SLB Schlumberger | +0% |
| 18 | NWSA News Corp (Class A) | -5% |
| 19 | BLDR Builders FirstSource | -28% |
| 20 | MRNA Moderna | -29% |
| # | Stock | 12-month return |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | WDC Western Digital | +282% |
| 2 | MU Micron Technology | +239% |
| 3 | NEM Newmont | +168% |
| 4 | AMD Advanced Micro Devices | +77% |
| 5 | CVS CVS Health | +77% |
| 6 | MPWR Monolithic Power Systems | +53% |
| 7 | FSLR First Solar | +48% |
| 8 | HAS Hasbro | +47% |
| 9 | UBER Uber | +36% |
| 10 | APTV Aptiv | +26% |
| 11 | GL Globe Life | +25% |
| 12 | BIIB Biogen | +15% |
| 13 | DVN Devon Energy | +12% |
| 14 | MCHP Microchip Technology | +11% |
| 15 | REGN Regeneron Pharmaceuticals | +8% |
| 16 | PHM PulteGroup | +8% |
| 17 | SLB Schlumberger | +0% |
| 18 | PFE Pfizer | -6% |
| 19 | CMCSA Comcast | -20% |
| 20 | MRNA Moderna | -29% |
| Year | JPI Fair | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | +56% | +16% |
| 2026 (live) | +24% | +13% |
| 2-year cumulative (if you kept going) | +94% | +32% |
π‘ The takeaway β you have to accept the average or down years and stay in the method (sell, rebuy the newly recommended names). Whoever panics after a bad year misses the rebound. Discipline > emotion.
π See the full 11-year backtest β π― Stocks to buy today β
Per the JPI Fair method (targets from the β₯2 most reliable analysts per sector), the 20 S&P 500 stocks selected in early 2025 returned +56.3% on average over 12 months, vs 16.4% for the index. The best was WDC (Western Digital) at +282%. See the full list above.
With no hindsight: only from information known by end of 2024 (price targets from analysts with a real reliability track record on their sector), then held 12 months. A point-in-time backtest, not a hindsight pick.
Over 11 years (2015-2025), the JPI Fair method returned +26%/yr vs +12.6% for the S&P 500 β double the market. But it's lumpy (drawdowns in 2018 and 2022) and risk-adjusted the edge is thinner. A quality signal, not a guarantee.
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best β on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
Explore JPI Invest for free β How it works: the method β
β οΈ Educational analysis, not investment advice. Point-in-time backtest on recomputed Yahoo data, universe = stocks still in the index (survivorship bias). Past performance does not predict the future.