FrançaisAre analysts right about First Solar (FSLR)?
📈 See the interactive version (live chart) →
Historical analyst accuracy
For First Solar, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 44% were profitable, average return +6% (313 calls). At 3 months: +5% average return (51% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) — not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| B of A Securities | 28 | 39% | -9% |
| Morgan Stanley | 21 | 33% | -20% |
| Goldman Sachs | 18 | 39% | -11% |
| JP Morgan | 17 | 47% | -5% |
| Barclays | 16 | 50% | +4% |
Valuation
Is First Solar overvalued, and is it a good time to buy First Solar right now? If you're wondering, here's a recap to make up your own mind: First Solar's valuation vs its sector median, to weigh alongside analyst reliability (above) and past performance. Educational information, not buy advice.
The P/E (price ÷ earnings per share) = how many years of earnings you pay for the stock. The higher it is, the more growth the market expects — but the pricier the stock, so more vulnerable if growth disappoints. The forward P/E uses next year's expected earnings: lower than the current P/E = rising expected earnings. We compare it to the sector median to see whether the stock is expensive relative to its peers.
| Metric | First Solar | Sector median (Information Technology) |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 10.9 | 36.0 |
| Forward P/E | 7.5 | 18.3 |
| Net margin | 32% | 16% |
👉 First Solar trades below its sector median (10.9 vs 36.0) — potentially undervalued, or lower expected growth.
📖 P/E, PEG, margin…: see the glossary
Frequently asked questions
Is First Solar a buy right now?
The analyst consensus on First Solar (FSLR) is "Buy" (47 bullish, 3 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 44% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
What is First Solar's price target?
The median 12-month price target is $271 (+53% vs $177), ranging from $197 to $330 (20 analysts).
Are analysts accurate on First Solar?
Over 1 year, 44% of analyst targets on First Solar were profitable, for an average return of +6% (across 313 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
What is the First Solar stock forecast?
Analysts target a median of $271 within 12 months, i.e. +53% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $330, the most cautious $197.
What is the First Solar stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $271, +53%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (« 2030 prediction » models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (44%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Is First Solar overvalued?
Its P/E is 10.9, forward P/E 7.5. A forward P/E lower than the current P/E means earnings are expected to grow.
📊 See the full interactive analysis of First Solar →
What is JPI Invest?
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
- 🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
- 🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 6 years, from cautious to aggressive
- 💬 AI assistant: ask anything about any stock, with the numbers
- 📊 Portfolio tracking + 🔔 price alerts by email
⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.