FrançaisAre analysts right about American Airlines Group (AAL)?
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Historical analyst accuracy
For American Airlines Group, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 26% were profitable, average return -7% (191 calls). At 3 months: -4% average return (34% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) — not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| Citigroup | 21 | 5% | -33% |
| JP Morgan | 17 | 29% | -9% |
| B of A Securities | 17 | 24% | -9% |
| Deutsche Bank | 15 | 47% | +13% |
| Morgan Stanley | 14 | 79% | +31% |
Frequently asked questions
Is American Airlines Group a buy right now?
The analyst consensus on American Airlines Group (AAL) is "Hold" (29 bullish, 2 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 26% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
What is American Airlines Group's price target?
The median 12-month price target is $19.00 (+38% vs $13.72), ranging from $12.50 to $25.00 (17 analysts).
Are analysts accurate on American Airlines Group?
Over 1 year, 26% of analyst targets on American Airlines Group were profitable, for an average return of -7% (across 191 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
What is the American Airlines Group stock forecast?
Analysts target a median of $19.00 within 12 months, i.e. +38% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $25.00, the most cautious $12.50.
What is the American Airlines Group stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $19.00, +38%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (« 2030 prediction » models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (26%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Is American Airlines Group overvalued?
Detailed valuation data for American Airlines Group is available in the interactive analysis.
📊 See the full interactive analysis of American Airlines Group →
What is JPI Invest?
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
- 🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
- 🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 6 years, from cautious to aggressive
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- 📊 Portfolio tracking + 🔔 price alerts by email
⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.