FrançaisAre analysts right about Archer Daniels Midland (ADM)?
📈 See the interactive version (live chart) →
Historical analyst accuracy
For Archer Daniels Midland, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 41% were profitable, average return +10% (106 calls). At 3 months: +3% average return (45% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) — not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stifel | 19 | 58% | +27% |
| Baird | 12 | 58% | +19% |
| Barclays | 12 | 33% | -0% |
| Citigroup | 11 | 0% | -5% |
| B of A Securities | 7 | 29% | -12% |
Valuation
Is Archer Daniels Midland overvalued, and is it a good time to buy Archer Daniels Midland right now? If you're wondering, here's a recap to make up your own mind: Archer Daniels Midland's valuation vs its sector median, to weigh alongside analyst reliability (above) and past performance. Educational information, not buy advice.
The P/E (price ÷ earnings per share) = how many years of earnings you pay for the stock. The higher it is, the more growth the market expects — but the pricier the stock, so more vulnerable if growth disappoints. The forward P/E uses next year's expected earnings: lower than the current P/E = rising expected earnings. We compare it to the sector median to see whether the stock is expensive relative to its peers.
| Metric | Archer Daniels Midland | Sector median (Consumer Staples) |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 21.9 | 24.4 |
| Forward P/E | 13.9 | 15.6 |
| Net margin | 2% | 7% |
👉 Archer Daniels Midland is valued in line with its sector (21.9 vs 24.4).
📖 P/E, PEG, margin…: see the glossary
💵 Dividend : Archer Daniels Midland pays about $2.06/share/yr → 2.69% yield. what is this?
Frequently asked questions
Is Archer Daniels Midland a buy right now?
The analyst consensus on Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) is "Hold" (2 bullish, 8 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 41% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
What is Archer Daniels Midland's price target?
The median 12-month price target is $79.00 (-0% vs $79.10), ranging from $74.00 to $95.00 (5 analysts).
Are analysts accurate on Archer Daniels Midland?
Over 1 year, 41% of analyst targets on Archer Daniels Midland were profitable, for an average return of +10% (across 106 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
What is the Archer Daniels Midland stock forecast?
Analysts target a median of $79.00 within 12 months, i.e. -0% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $95.00, the most cautious $74.00.
What is the Archer Daniels Midland stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $79.00, -0%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (« 2030 prediction » models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (41%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Is Archer Daniels Midland overvalued?
Its P/E is 21.9, forward P/E 13.9. A forward P/E lower than the current P/E means earnings are expected to grow.
📊 See the full interactive analysis of Archer Daniels Midland →
What is JPI Invest?
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
- 🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
- 🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 6 years, from cautious to aggressive
- 💬 AI assistant: ask anything about any stock, with the numbers
- 📊 Portfolio tracking + 🔔 price alerts by email
⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.