FrançaisAre analysts right about Alaska Air Group (ALK)?
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Historical analyst accuracy
For Alaska Air Group, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 32% were profitable, average return +5% (197 calls). At 3 months: -1% average return (33% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) — not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Stanley | 31 | 10% | -11% |
| Raymond James | 22 | 41% | +17% |
| JP Morgan | 20 | 35% | +6% |
| B of A Securities | 14 | 29% | -4% |
| Deutsche Bank | 13 | 38% | +18% |
Frequently asked questions
Is Alaska Air Group a buy right now?
The analyst consensus on Alaska Air Group (ALK) is "Buy" (36 bullish, 3 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 32% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
What is Alaska Air Group's price target?
The median 12-month price target is $65.00 (+54% vs $42.20), ranging from $37.00 to $92.00 (11 analysts).
Are analysts accurate on Alaska Air Group?
Over 1 year, 32% of analyst targets on Alaska Air Group were profitable, for an average return of +5% (across 197 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
What is the Alaska Air Group stock forecast?
Analysts target a median of $65.00 within 12 months, i.e. +54% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $92.00, the most cautious $37.00.
What is the Alaska Air Group stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $65.00, +54%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (« 2030 prediction » models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (32%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Is Alaska Air Group overvalued?
Detailed valuation data for Alaska Air Group is available in the interactive analysis.
📊 See the full interactive analysis of Alaska Air Group →
What is JPI Invest?
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
- 🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
- 🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 6 years, from cautious to aggressive
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⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.