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For Armour Residential REIT, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 0% were profitable, average return +4% (1 calls). At 3 months: -5% average return (0% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) β not a forecast of what will happen.
Not enough scored calls for a reliable ranking.
The analyst consensus on Armour Residential REIT (ARR) is "Buy" (4 bullish, 0 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 0% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
The median 12-month price target is $18.50 (+13% vs $16.41), ranging from $18.00 to $19.00 (2 analysts).
Over 1 year, 0% of analyst targets on Armour Residential REIT were profitable, for an average return of +4% (across 1 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
Analysts target a median of $18.50 within 12 months, i.e. +13% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $19.00, the most cautious $18.00.
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $18.50, +13%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (Β« 2030 prediction Β» models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (0%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Detailed valuation data for Armour Residential REIT is available in the interactive analysis.
π See the full interactive analysis of Armour Residential REIT β
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best β on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
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β οΈ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.