FrançaisAre analysts right about Carlyle Group (The) (CG)?
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Historical analyst accuracy
For Carlyle Group (The), we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 37% were profitable, average return +5% (147 calls). At 3 months: +2% average return (44% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) — not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deutsche Bank | 20 | 25% | -7% |
| Barclays | 19 | 42% | +14% |
| Oppenheimer | 16 | 56% | +19% |
| Citigroup | 15 | 27% | +4% |
| JP Morgan | 13 | 38% | +10% |
Valuation
Is Carlyle Group (The) overvalued, and is it a good time to buy Carlyle Group (The) right now? If you're wondering, here's a recap to make up your own mind: Carlyle Group (The)'s valuation vs its sector median, to weigh alongside analyst reliability (above) and past performance. Educational information, not buy advice.
The P/E (price ÷ earnings per share) = how many years of earnings you pay for the stock. The higher it is, the more growth the market expects — but the pricier the stock, so more vulnerable if growth disappoints. The forward P/E uses next year's expected earnings: lower than the current P/E = rising expected earnings. We compare it to the sector median to see whether the stock is expensive relative to its peers.
| Metric | Carlyle Group (The) | Sector median (Financials) |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 50.8 | 14.0 |
| Forward P/E | 9.6 | 11.1 |
| Net margin | 13% | 24% |
👉 Carlyle Group (The) trades above its sector median (50.8 vs 14.0) — the market expects higher growth; watch out for disappointment.
📖 P/E, PEG, margin…: see the glossary
💵 Dividend : Carlyle Group (The) pays about $1.40/share/yr → 3.31% yield. what is this?
Frequently asked questions
Is Carlyle Group (The) a buy right now?
The analyst consensus on Carlyle Group (The) (CG) is "Hold" (23 bullish, 0 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 37% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
What is Carlyle Group (The)'s price target?
The median 12-month price target is $63.00 (+28% vs $49.24), ranging from $50.00 to $73.00 (11 analysts).
Are analysts accurate on Carlyle Group (The)?
Over 1 year, 37% of analyst targets on Carlyle Group (The) were profitable, for an average return of +5% (across 147 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
What is the Carlyle Group (The) stock forecast?
Analysts target a median of $63.00 within 12 months, i.e. +28% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $73.00, the most cautious $50.00.
What is the Carlyle Group (The) stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $63.00, +28%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (« 2030 prediction » models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (37%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Is Carlyle Group (The) overvalued?
Its P/E is 50.8, forward P/E 9.6. A forward P/E lower than the current P/E means earnings are expected to grow.
📊 See the full interactive analysis of Carlyle Group (The) →
What is JPI Invest?
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
- 🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
- 🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 6 years, from cautious to aggressive
- 💬 AI assistant: ask anything about any stock, with the numbers
- 📊 Portfolio tracking + 🔔 price alerts by email
⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.