FrançaisAre analysts right about Commercial Metals (CMC)?
📈 See the interactive version (live chart) →
Historical analyst accuracy
For Commercial Metals, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 35% were profitable, average return +10% (60 calls). At 3 months: +7% average return (55% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) — not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| Keybanc | 11 | 36% | +15% |
| Jefferies | 9 | 22% | +9% |
| B of A Securities | 7 | 29% | -2% |
| Citigroup | 5 | 40% | +6% |
Valuation
Is Commercial Metals overvalued, and is it a good time to buy Commercial Metals right now? If you're wondering, here's a recap to make up your own mind: Commercial Metals's valuation vs its sector median, to weigh alongside analyst reliability (above) and past performance. Educational information, not buy advice.
The P/E (price ÷ earnings per share) = how many years of earnings you pay for the stock. The higher it is, the more growth the market expects — but the pricier the stock, so more vulnerable if growth disappoints. The forward P/E uses next year's expected earnings: lower than the current P/E = rising expected earnings. We compare it to the sector median to see whether the stock is expensive relative to its peers.
| Metric | Commercial Metals | Sector median (Materials) |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 12.9 | 23.4 |
| Forward P/E | 9.3 | 15.9 |
| Net margin | 7% | 8% |
👉 Commercial Metals trades below its sector median (12.9 vs 23.4) — potentially undervalued, or lower expected growth.
📖 P/E, PEG, margin…: see the glossary
💵 Dividend : Commercial Metals pays about $0.56/share/yr → 0.91% yield. what is this?
Frequently asked questions
Is Commercial Metals a buy right now?
The analyst consensus on Commercial Metals (CMC) is "Buy" (20 bullish, 0 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 35% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
What is Commercial Metals's price target?
The median 12-month price target is $80.00 (+16% vs $68.76), ranging from $75.00 to $89.00 (8 analysts).
Are analysts accurate on Commercial Metals?
Over 1 year, 35% of analyst targets on Commercial Metals were profitable, for an average return of +10% (across 60 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
What is the Commercial Metals stock forecast?
Analysts target a median of $80.00 within 12 months, i.e. +16% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $89.00, the most cautious $75.00.
What is the Commercial Metals stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $80.00, +16%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (« 2030 prediction » models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (35%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Is Commercial Metals overvalued?
Its P/E is 12.9, forward P/E 9.3. A forward P/E lower than the current P/E means earnings are expected to grow.
📊 See the full interactive analysis of Commercial Metals →
What is JPI Invest?
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
- 🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
- 🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 6 years, from cautious to aggressive
- 💬 AI assistant: ask anything about any stock, with the numbers
- 📊 Portfolio tracking + 🔔 price alerts by email
⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.