FrançaisAre analysts right about ConocoPhillips (COP)?
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Historical analyst accuracy
For ConocoPhillips, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 41% were profitable, average return +13% (318 calls). At 3 months: +3% average return (38% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) — not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Stanley | 36 | 44% | +15% |
| Barclays | 28 | 25% | -4% |
| UBS | 25 | 36% | +6% |
| Raymond James | 21 | 57% | +25% |
| Wells Fargo | 19 | 42% | +16% |
Valuation
Is ConocoPhillips overvalued, and is it a good time to buy ConocoPhillips right now? If you're wondering, here's a recap to make up your own mind: ConocoPhillips's valuation vs its sector median, to weigh alongside analyst reliability (above) and past performance. Educational information, not buy advice.
The P/E (price ÷ earnings per share) = how many years of earnings you pay for the stock. The higher it is, the more growth the market expects — but the pricier the stock, so more vulnerable if growth disappoints. The forward P/E uses next year's expected earnings: lower than the current P/E = rising expected earnings. We compare it to the sector median to see whether the stock is expensive relative to its peers.
| Metric | ConocoPhillips | Sector median (Energy) |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 17.3 | 17.2 |
| Forward P/E | 13.6 | 11.9 |
| Net margin | 14% | 14% |
👉 ConocoPhillips is valued in line with its sector (17.3 vs 17.2).
📖 P/E, PEG, margin…: see the glossary
💵 Dividend : ConocoPhillips pays about $3.30/share/yr → 3.20% yield. what is this?
Frequently asked questions
Is ConocoPhillips a buy right now?
The analyst consensus on ConocoPhillips (COP) is "Buy" (44 bullish, 1 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 41% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
What is ConocoPhillips's price target?
The median 12-month price target is $150 (+16% vs $130), ranging from $125 to $189 (12 analysts).
Are analysts accurate on ConocoPhillips?
Over 1 year, 41% of analyst targets on ConocoPhillips were profitable, for an average return of +13% (across 318 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
What is the ConocoPhillips stock forecast?
Analysts target a median of $150 within 12 months, i.e. +16% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $189, the most cautious $125.
What is the ConocoPhillips stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $150, +16%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (« 2030 prediction » models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (41%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Is ConocoPhillips overvalued?
Its P/E is 17.3, forward P/E 13.6. A forward P/E lower than the current P/E means earnings are expected to grow.
📊 See the full interactive analysis of ConocoPhillips →
What is JPI Invest?
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
- 🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
- 🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 6 years, from cautious to aggressive
- 💬 AI assistant: ask anything about any stock, with the numbers
- 📊 Portfolio tracking + 🔔 price alerts by email
⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.