FrançaisAre analysts right about HF Sinclair (DINO)?
📈 See the interactive version (live chart) →
Historical analyst accuracy
For HF Sinclair, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 46% were profitable, average return +24% (70 calls). At 3 months: +8% average return (53% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) — not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Sandler | 21 | 43% | +14% |
| Wells Fargo | 13 | 38% | -1% |
| Morgan Stanley | 10 | 40% | +37% |
| UBS | 6 | 67% | +50% |
| Mizuho | 5 | 80% | +67% |
Valuation
Is HF Sinclair overvalued, and is it a good time to buy HF Sinclair right now? If you're wondering, here's a recap to make up your own mind: HF Sinclair's valuation vs its sector median, to weigh alongside analyst reliability (above) and past performance. Educational information, not buy advice.
The P/E (price ÷ earnings per share) = how many years of earnings you pay for the stock. The higher it is, the more growth the market expects — but the pricier the stock, so more vulnerable if growth disappoints. The forward P/E uses next year's expected earnings: lower than the current P/E = rising expected earnings. We compare it to the sector median to see whether the stock is expensive relative to its peers.
| Metric | HF Sinclair | Sector median (Energy) |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 5.7 | 16.3 |
| Forward P/E | 6.7 | 12.4 |
| Net margin | 10% | 14% |
👉 HF Sinclair trades below its sector median (5.7 vs 16.3) — potentially undervalued, or lower expected growth.
📖 P/E, PEG, margin…: see the glossary
💵 Dividend : HF Sinclair pays about $2.00/share/yr → 2.76% yield. what is this?
Frequently asked questions
Is HF Sinclair a buy right now?
The analyst consensus on HF Sinclair (DINO) is "Buy" (20 bullish, 0 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 46% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
What is HF Sinclair's price target?
The median 12-month price target is $124 (+11% vs $112), ranging from $62.00 to $142 (10 analysts).
Are analysts accurate on HF Sinclair?
Over 1 year, 46% of analyst targets on HF Sinclair were profitable, for an average return of +24% (across 70 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
What is the HF Sinclair stock forecast?
Analysts target a median of $124 within 12 months, i.e. +11% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $142, the most cautious $62.00.
What is the HF Sinclair stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $124, +11%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (« 2030 prediction » models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (46%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Is HF Sinclair overvalued?
Its P/E is 5.7, forward P/E 6.7. A forward P/E lower than the current P/E means earnings are expected to grow.
📊 See the full interactive analysis of HF Sinclair →
What is JPI Invest?
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
- 🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
- 🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 6 years, from cautious to aggressive
- 💬 AI assistant: ask anything about any stock, with the numbers
- 📊 Portfolio tracking + 🔔 price alerts by email
⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.