FrançaisAre analysts right about Estée Lauder Companies (The) (EL)?
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Historical analyst accuracy
For Estée Lauder Companies (The), we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 28% were profitable, average return -4% (334 calls). At 3 months: -2% average return (39% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) — not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| DA Davidson | 37 | 24% | -9% |
| Morgan Stanley | 31 | 36% | +1% |
| Deutsche Bank | 26 | 46% | +13% |
| JP Morgan | 25 | 8% | -24% |
| Raymond James | 24 | 38% | +2% |
Valuation
Is Estée Lauder Companies (The) overvalued, and is it a good time to buy Estée Lauder Companies (The) right now? If you're wondering, here's a recap to make up your own mind: Estée Lauder Companies (The)'s valuation vs its sector median, to weigh alongside analyst reliability (above) and past performance. Educational information, not buy advice.
The P/E (price ÷ earnings per share) = how many years of earnings you pay for the stock. The higher it is, the more growth the market expects — but the pricier the stock, so more vulnerable if growth disappoints. The forward P/E uses next year's expected earnings: lower than the current P/E = rising expected earnings. We compare it to the sector median to see whether the stock is expensive relative to its peers.
| Metric | Estée Lauder Companies (The) | Sector median (Consumer Staples) |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 208.3 | 24.4 |
| Forward P/E | 27.2 | 15.6 |
| Net margin | 1% | 7% |
👉 Estée Lauder Companies (The) trades above its sector median (208.3 vs 24.4) — the market expects higher growth; watch out for disappointment.
📖 P/E, PEG, margin…: see the glossary
💵 Dividend : Estée Lauder Companies (The) pays about $1.40/share/yr → 1.70% yield. what is this?
Frequently asked questions
Is Estée Lauder Companies (The) a buy right now?
The analyst consensus on Estée Lauder Companies (The) (EL) is "Hold" (25 bullish, 1 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 28% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
What is Estée Lauder Companies (The)'s price target?
The median 12-month price target is $105 (-1% vs $106), ranging from $82.00 to $120 (16 analysts).
Are analysts accurate on Estée Lauder Companies (The)?
Over 1 year, 28% of analyst targets on Estée Lauder Companies (The) were profitable, for an average return of -4% (across 334 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
What is the Estée Lauder Companies (The) stock forecast?
Analysts target a median of $105 within 12 months, i.e. -1% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $120, the most cautious $82.00.
What is the Estée Lauder Companies (The) stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $105, -1%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (« 2030 prediction » models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (28%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Is Estée Lauder Companies (The) overvalued?
Its P/E is 208.3, forward P/E 27.2. A forward P/E lower than the current P/E means earnings are expected to grow.
📊 See the full interactive analysis of Estée Lauder Companies (The) →
What is JPI Invest?
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
- 🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
- 🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 6 years, from cautious to aggressive
- 💬 AI assistant: ask anything about any stock, with the numbers
- 📊 Portfolio tracking + 🔔 price alerts by email
⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.