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For National Vision Holdings, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 48% were profitable, average return +17% (54 calls). At 3 months: +8% average return (65% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) β not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Stanley | 12 | 42% | +10% |
| Barclays | 8 | 38% | +14% |
| Citigroup | 7 | 43% | +4% |
| Wells Fargo | 5 | 80% | +63% |
| Goldman Sachs | 5 | 0% | -21% |
The analyst consensus on National Vision Holdings (EYE) is "Buy" (16 bullish, 0 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 48% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
The median 12-month price target is $30.00 (+68% vs $17.87), ranging from $20.00 to $35.00 (7 analysts).
Over 1 year, 48% of analyst targets on National Vision Holdings were profitable, for an average return of +17% (across 54 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
Analysts target a median of $30.00 within 12 months, i.e. +68% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $35.00, the most cautious $20.00.
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $30.00, +68%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (Β« 2030 prediction Β» models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (48%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Detailed valuation data for National Vision Holdings is available in the interactive analysis.
π See the full interactive analysis of National Vision Holdings β
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best β on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
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β οΈ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.