FrançaisAre analysts right about Shift4 (FOUR)?
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Historical analyst accuracy
For Shift4, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 38% were profitable, average return +5% (146 calls). At 3 months: +3% average return (45% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) — not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goldman Sachs | 13 | 62% | +30% |
| Piper Sandler | 13 | 23% | +2% |
| Wells Fargo | 12 | 33% | +0% |
| DA Davidson | 11 | 46% | -1% |
| Credit Suisse | 10 | 50% | +28% |
Valuation
Is Shift4 overvalued, and is it a good time to buy Shift4 right now? If you're wondering, here's a recap to make up your own mind: Shift4's valuation vs its sector median, to weigh alongside analyst reliability (above) and past performance. Educational information, not buy advice.
The P/E (price ÷ earnings per share) = how many years of earnings you pay for the stock. The higher it is, the more growth the market expects — but the pricier the stock, so more vulnerable if growth disappoints. The forward P/E uses next year's expected earnings: lower than the current P/E = rising expected earnings. We compare it to the sector median to see whether the stock is expensive relative to its peers.
| Metric | Shift4 | Sector median (Financials) |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 68.7 | 14.0 |
| Forward P/E | 7.0 | 11.1 |
| Net margin | 2% | 24% |
👉 Shift4 trades above its sector median (68.7 vs 14.0) — the market expects higher growth; watch out for disappointment.
📖 P/E, PEG, margin…: see the glossary
Frequently asked questions
Is Shift4 a buy right now?
The analyst consensus on Shift4 (FOUR) is "Buy" (31 bullish, 0 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 38% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
What is Shift4's price target?
The median 12-month price target is $57.00 (+30% vs $43.94), ranging from $40.00 to $96.00 (14 analysts).
Are analysts accurate on Shift4?
Over 1 year, 38% of analyst targets on Shift4 were profitable, for an average return of +5% (across 146 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
What is the Shift4 stock forecast?
Analysts target a median of $57.00 within 12 months, i.e. +30% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $96.00, the most cautious $40.00.
What is the Shift4 stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $57.00, +30%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (« 2030 prediction » models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (38%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Is Shift4 overvalued?
Its P/E is 68.7, forward P/E 7.0. A forward P/E lower than the current P/E means earnings are expected to grow.
📊 See the full interactive analysis of Shift4 →
What is JPI Invest?
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
- 🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
- 🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 6 years, from cautious to aggressive
- 💬 AI assistant: ask anything about any stock, with the numbers
- 📊 Portfolio tracking + 🔔 price alerts by email
⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.