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Are analysts right about First Industrial Realty Trust (FR)?

Real Estate Β· price $62.39 Β· median target $72.00 (+15%)
In short β€” Over the past 12 months, 32% of analyst price targets on First Industrial Realty Trust turned out profitable, for an average return of +7% (across 65 timestamped calls). The current consensus is "Hold" with a median price target of $72.00 (+15% vs the current $62.39, from 7 analysts).

πŸ“ˆ See the interactive version (live chart) β†’

πŸ”— Related pages on First Industrial Realty Trust β€” Financials & fundamentals  Β·  If I had invested  Β·  Dividend
Current price
$62.39
Median target (12 mo)
$72.00 +15%
Analyst accuracy (1 yr)
32%
Avg return / call (1 yr)
+7%
πŸ’° Performance & Β« if I invested Β» πŸ“Š Interactive analysis

Historical analyst accuracy

For First Industrial Realty Trust, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 32% were profitable, average return +7% (65 calls). At 3 months: +3% average return (41% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.

Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)

Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) β€” not a forecast of what will happen.

Analyst / brokerCalls i% profitable iAvg return i
RBC Capital922%+4%
JP Morgan812%-1%
Stifel743%+9%
Truist Securities743%+13%
Baird633%+7%

Valuation

Is First Industrial Realty Trust overvalued, and is it a good time to buy First Industrial Realty Trust right now? If you're wondering, here's a recap to make up your own mind: First Industrial Realty Trust's valuation vs its sector median, to weigh alongside analyst reliability (above) and past performance. Educational information, not buy advice.

The P/E (price Γ· earnings per share) = how many years of earnings you pay for the stock. The higher it is, the more growth the market expects β€” but the pricier the stock, so more vulnerable if growth disappoints. The forward P/E uses next year's expected earnings: lower than the current P/E = rising expected earnings. We compare it to the sector median to see whether the stock is expensive relative to its peers.

MetricFirst Industrial Realty TrustSector median (Real Estate)
P/E22.729.5
Forward P/E33.534.2
Net margin48%25%

πŸ‘‰ First Industrial Realty Trust trades below its sector median (22.7 vs 29.5) β€” potentially undervalued, or lower expected growth.

πŸ“– P/E, PEG, margin…: see the glossary

πŸ’΅ Dividend : First Industrial Realty Trust pays about $1.89/share/yr β†’ 3.07% yield. what is this?

Frequently asked questions

Is First Industrial Realty Trust a buy right now?

The analyst consensus on First Industrial Realty Trust (FR) is "Hold" (13 bullish, 0 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 32% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.

What is First Industrial Realty Trust's price target?

The median 12-month price target is $72.00 (+15% vs $62.39), ranging from $61.00 to $75.00 (7 analysts).

Are analysts accurate on First Industrial Realty Trust?

Over 1 year, 32% of analyst targets on First Industrial Realty Trust were profitable, for an average return of +7% (across 65 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.

What is the First Industrial Realty Trust stock forecast?

Analysts target a median of $72.00 within 12 months, i.e. +15% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $75.00, the most cautious $61.00.

What is the First Industrial Realty Trust stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?

Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $72.00, +15%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (Β« 2030 prediction Β» models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (32%), and the stock's past trajectory.

Is First Industrial Realty Trust overvalued?

Its P/E is 22.7, forward P/E 33.5. A forward P/E lower than the current P/E means earnings are expected to grow.

πŸ“Š See the full interactive analysis of First Industrial Realty Trust β†’

What is JPI Invest?

JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best β€” on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.

Explore JPI Invest for free β†’ How it works: the method β†’

⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.