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Are analysts right about Louisiana-Pacific (LPX)?

Materials Β· price $73.46 Β· median target $89.00 (+21%)
In short β€” Over the past 12 months, 32% of analyst price targets on Louisiana-Pacific turned out profitable, for an average return of +9% (across 91 timestamped calls). The current consensus is "Buy" with a median price target of $89.00 (+21% vs the current $73.46, from 9 analysts).

πŸ“ˆ See the interactive version (live chart) β†’

πŸ”— Related pages on Louisiana-Pacific β€” Financials & fundamentals  Β·  If I had invested  Β·  Dividend
Current price
$73.46
Median target (12 mo)
$89.00 +21%
Analyst accuracy (1 yr)
32%
Avg return / call (1 yr)
+9%
πŸ’° Performance & Β« if I invested Β» πŸ“Š Interactive analysis

Historical analyst accuracy

For Louisiana-Pacific, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 32% were profitable, average return +9% (91 calls). At 3 months: +0% average return (43% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.

Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)

Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) β€” not a forecast of what will happen.

Analyst / brokerCalls i% profitable iAvg return i
RBC Capital1656%+22%
DA Davidson1527%+21%
BMO Capital1010%+27%
B of A Securities922%+6%
Truist Securities933%+13%

Valuation

Is Louisiana-Pacific overvalued, and is it a good time to buy Louisiana-Pacific right now? If you're wondering, here's a recap to make up your own mind: Louisiana-Pacific's valuation vs its sector median, to weigh alongside analyst reliability (above) and past performance. Educational information, not buy advice.

The P/E (price Γ· earnings per share) = how many years of earnings you pay for the stock. The higher it is, the more growth the market expects β€” but the pricier the stock, so more vulnerable if growth disappoints. The forward P/E uses next year's expected earnings: lower than the current P/E = rising expected earnings. We compare it to the sector median to see whether the stock is expensive relative to its peers.

MetricLouisiana-PacificSector median (Materials)
P/E95.420.6
Forward P/E25.714.3
Net margin2%8%

πŸ‘‰ Louisiana-Pacific trades above its sector median (95.4 vs 20.6) β€” the market expects higher growth; watch out for disappointment.

πŸ“– P/E, PEG, margin…: see the glossary

πŸ’΅ Dividend : Louisiana-Pacific pays about $1.16/share/yr β†’ 1.47% yield. what is this?

Frequently asked questions

Is Louisiana-Pacific a buy right now?

The analyst consensus on Louisiana-Pacific (LPX) is "Buy" (26 bullish, 2 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 32% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.

What is Louisiana-Pacific's price target?

The median 12-month price target is $89.00 (+21% vs $73.46), ranging from $64.00 to $104 (9 analysts).

Are analysts accurate on Louisiana-Pacific?

Over 1 year, 32% of analyst targets on Louisiana-Pacific were profitable, for an average return of +9% (across 91 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.

What is the Louisiana-Pacific stock forecast?

Analysts target a median of $89.00 within 12 months, i.e. +21% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $104, the most cautious $64.00.

What is the Louisiana-Pacific stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?

Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $89.00, +21%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (Β« 2030 prediction Β» models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (32%), and the stock's past trajectory.

Is Louisiana-Pacific overvalued?

Its P/E is 95.4, forward P/E 25.7. A forward P/E lower than the current P/E means earnings are expected to grow.

πŸ“Š See the full interactive analysis of Louisiana-Pacific β†’

What is JPI Invest?

JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best β€” on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.

Explore JPI Invest for free β†’ How it works: the method β†’

⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.