FrançaisAre analysts right about Lam Research (LRCX)?
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Historical analyst accuracy
For Lam Research, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 68% were profitable, average return +62% (298 calls). At 3 months: +12% average return (58% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) — not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| Citigroup | 26 | 69% | +48% |
| Mizuho | 24 | 71% | +77% |
| Stifel | 23 | 70% | +62% |
| Keybanc | 21 | 71% | +59% |
| B. Riley Securities | 20 | 75% | +71% |
Valuation
Is Lam Research overvalued, and is it a good time to buy Lam Research right now? If you're wondering, here's a recap to make up your own mind: Lam Research's valuation vs its sector median, to weigh alongside analyst reliability (above) and past performance. Educational information, not buy advice.
The P/E (price ÷ earnings per share) = how many years of earnings you pay for the stock. The higher it is, the more growth the market expects — but the pricier the stock, so more vulnerable if growth disappoints. The forward P/E uses next year's expected earnings: lower than the current P/E = rising expected earnings. We compare it to the sector median to see whether the stock is expensive relative to its peers.
| Metric | Lam Research | Sector median (Information Technology) |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 54.4 | 39.4 |
| Forward P/E | 27.6 | 20.6 |
| Net margin | 31% | 16% |
👉 Lam Research trades above its sector median (54.4 vs 39.4) — the market expects higher growth; watch out for disappointment.
📖 P/E, PEG, margin…: see the glossary
💵 Dividend : Lam Research pays about $1.04/share/yr → 0.27% yield. what is this?
Frequently asked questions
Is Lam Research a buy right now?
The analyst consensus on Lam Research (LRCX) is "Buy" (80 bullish, 1 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 68% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
What is Lam Research's price target?
The median 12-month price target is $367 (+15% vs $319), ranging from $300 to $500 (19 analysts).
Are analysts accurate on Lam Research?
Over 1 year, 68% of analyst targets on Lam Research were profitable, for an average return of +62% (across 298 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
What is the Lam Research stock forecast?
Analysts target a median of $367 within 12 months, i.e. +15% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $500, the most cautious $300.
What is the Lam Research stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $367, +15%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (« 2030 prediction » models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (68%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Is Lam Research overvalued?
Its P/E is 54.4, forward P/E 27.6. A forward P/E lower than the current P/E means earnings are expected to grow.
📊 See the full interactive analysis of Lam Research →
What is JPI Invest?
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
- 🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
- 🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 6 years, from cautious to aggressive
- 💬 AI assistant: ask anything about any stock, with the numbers
- 📊 Portfolio tracking + 🔔 price alerts by email
⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.