FrançaisAre analysts right about Mercury Systems (MRCY)?
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Historical analyst accuracy
For Mercury Systems, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 35% were profitable, average return +1% (48 calls). At 3 months: +3% average return (43% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) — not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goldman Sachs | 8 | 0% | -58% |
| Truist Securities | 8 | 38% | +23% |
| Baird | 5 | 60% | +40% |
| Raymond James | 5 | 20% | -9% |
Frequently asked questions
Is Mercury Systems a buy right now?
The analyst consensus on Mercury Systems (MRCY) is "Buy" (10 bullish, 2 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 35% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
What is Mercury Systems's price target?
The median 12-month price target is $120 (+33% vs $90.47), ranging from $68.00 to $131 (8 analysts).
Are analysts accurate on Mercury Systems?
Over 1 year, 35% of analyst targets on Mercury Systems were profitable, for an average return of +1% (across 48 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
What is the Mercury Systems stock forecast?
Analysts target a median of $120 within 12 months, i.e. +33% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $131, the most cautious $68.00.
What is the Mercury Systems stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $120, +33%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (« 2030 prediction » models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (35%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Is Mercury Systems overvalued?
Detailed valuation data for Mercury Systems is available in the interactive analysis.
📊 See the full interactive analysis of Mercury Systems →
What is JPI Invest?
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
- 🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
- 🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 6 years, from cautious to aggressive
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⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.