FrançaisAre analysts right about Morgan Stanley (MS)?
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Historical analyst accuracy
For Morgan Stanley, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 54% were profitable, average return +24% (161 calls). At 3 months: +6% average return (51% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) — not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oppenheimer | 22 | 50% | +28% |
| BMO Capital | 13 | 31% | +13% |
| B of A Securities | 12 | 83% | +50% |
| Barclays | 12 | 50% | +18% |
| Credit Suisse | 11 | 46% | +28% |
Valuation
Is Morgan Stanley overvalued, and is it a good time to buy Morgan Stanley right now? If you're wondering, here's a recap to make up your own mind: Morgan Stanley's valuation vs its sector median, to weigh alongside analyst reliability (above) and past performance. Educational information, not buy advice.
The P/E (price ÷ earnings per share) = how many years of earnings you pay for the stock. The higher it is, the more growth the market expects — but the pricier the stock, so more vulnerable if growth disappoints. The forward P/E uses next year's expected earnings: lower than the current P/E = rising expected earnings. We compare it to the sector median to see whether the stock is expensive relative to its peers.
| Metric | Morgan Stanley | Sector median (Financials) |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 17.4 | 14.0 |
| Forward P/E | 15.8 | 11.1 |
| Net margin | 26% | 24% |
👉 Morgan Stanley trades above its sector median (17.4 vs 14.0) — the market expects higher growth; watch out for disappointment.
📖 P/E, PEG, margin…: see the glossary
💵 Dividend : Morgan Stanley pays about $4.00/share/yr → 1.89% yield. what is this?
Frequently asked questions
Is Morgan Stanley a buy right now?
The analyst consensus on Morgan Stanley (MS) is "Hold" (24 bullish, 1 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 54% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
What is Morgan Stanley's price target?
The median 12-month price target is $240 (+12% vs $215), ranging from $195 to $262 (13 analysts).
Are analysts accurate on Morgan Stanley?
Over 1 year, 54% of analyst targets on Morgan Stanley were profitable, for an average return of +24% (across 161 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
What is the Morgan Stanley stock forecast?
Analysts target a median of $240 within 12 months, i.e. +12% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $262, the most cautious $195.
What is the Morgan Stanley stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $240, +12%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (« 2030 prediction » models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (54%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Is Morgan Stanley overvalued?
Its P/E is 17.4, forward P/E 15.8. A forward P/E lower than the current P/E means earnings are expected to grow.
📊 See the full interactive analysis of Morgan Stanley →
What is JPI Invest?
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
- 🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
- 🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 6 years, from cautious to aggressive
- 💬 AI assistant: ask anything about any stock, with the numbers
- 📊 Portfolio tracking + 🔔 price alerts by email
⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.