FrançaisAre analysts right about National Fuel Gas (NFG)?
📈 See the interactive version (live chart) →
Historical analyst accuracy
For National Fuel Gas, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 41% were profitable, average return +9% (39 calls). At 3 months: +0% average return (25% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) — not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raymond James | 10 | 30% | +3% |
| Jefferies | 8 | 38% | +10% |
| Scotiabank | 8 | 62% | +27% |
| B of A Securities | 5 | 20% | -4% |
Valuation
Is National Fuel Gas overvalued, and is it a good time to buy National Fuel Gas right now? If you're wondering, here's a recap to make up your own mind: National Fuel Gas's valuation vs its sector median, to weigh alongside analyst reliability (above) and past performance. Educational information, not buy advice.
The P/E (price ÷ earnings per share) = how many years of earnings you pay for the stock. The higher it is, the more growth the market expects — but the pricier the stock, so more vulnerable if growth disappoints. The forward P/E uses next year's expected earnings: lower than the current P/E = rising expected earnings. We compare it to the sector median to see whether the stock is expensive relative to its peers.
| Metric | National Fuel Gas | Sector median (Utilities) |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 11.6 | 20.9 |
| Forward P/E | 11.0 | 16.9 |
| Net margin | 27% | 14% |
👉 National Fuel Gas trades below its sector median (11.6 vs 20.9) — potentially undervalued, or lower expected growth.
📖 P/E, PEG, margin…: see the glossary
💵 Dividend : National Fuel Gas pays about $2.16/share/yr → 2.79% yield. what is this?
Frequently asked questions
Is National Fuel Gas a buy right now?
The analyst consensus on National Fuel Gas (NFG) is "Buy" (1 bullish, 0 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 41% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
What is National Fuel Gas's price target?
The median 12-month price target is $110 (+33% vs $82.87), ranging from $110 to $110 (1 analysts).
Are analysts accurate on National Fuel Gas?
Over 1 year, 41% of analyst targets on National Fuel Gas were profitable, for an average return of +9% (across 39 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
What is the National Fuel Gas stock forecast?
Analysts target a median of $110 within 12 months, i.e. +33% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $110, the most cautious $110.
What is the National Fuel Gas stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $110, +33%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (« 2030 prediction » models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (41%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Is National Fuel Gas overvalued?
Its P/E is 11.6, forward P/E 11.0. A forward P/E lower than the current P/E means earnings are expected to grow.
📊 See the full interactive analysis of National Fuel Gas →
What is JPI Invest?
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
- 🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
- 🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 6 years, from cautious to aggressive
- 💬 AI assistant: ask anything about any stock, with the numbers
- 📊 Portfolio tracking + 🔔 price alerts by email
⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.