FrançaisAre analysts right about NRG Energy (NRG)?
📈 See the interactive version (live chart) →
Historical analyst accuracy
For NRG Energy, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 50% were profitable, average return +19% (129 calls). At 3 months: +6% average return (49% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) — not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Stanley | 27 | 30% | +8% |
| UBS | 14 | 57% | +12% |
| Jefferies | 11 | 73% | +18% |
| Citigroup | 11 | 36% | +8% |
| B of A Securities | 11 | 73% | +72% |
Valuation
Is NRG Energy overvalued, and is it a good time to buy NRG Energy right now? If you're wondering, here's a recap to make up your own mind: NRG Energy's valuation vs its sector median, to weigh alongside analyst reliability (above) and past performance. Educational information, not buy advice.
The P/E (price ÷ earnings per share) = how many years of earnings you pay for the stock. The higher it is, the more growth the market expects — but the pricier the stock, so more vulnerable if growth disappoints. The forward P/E uses next year's expected earnings: lower than the current P/E = rising expected earnings. We compare it to the sector median to see whether the stock is expensive relative to its peers.
| Metric | NRG Energy | Sector median (Utilities) |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 25.5 | 21.7 |
| Forward P/E | 9.2 | 17.6 |
| Net margin | 3% | 14% |
👉 NRG Energy trades above its sector median (25.5 vs 21.7) — the market expects higher growth; watch out for disappointment.
📖 P/E, PEG, margin…: see the glossary
💵 Dividend : NRG Energy pays about $1.83/share/yr → 1.30% yield. what is this?
Frequently asked questions
Is NRG Energy a buy right now?
The analyst consensus on NRG Energy (NRG) is "Buy" (16 bullish, 0 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 50% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
What is NRG Energy's price target?
The median 12-month price target is $179 (+84% vs $97.54), ranging from $144 to $216 (9 analysts).
Are analysts accurate on NRG Energy?
Over 1 year, 50% of analyst targets on NRG Energy were profitable, for an average return of +19% (across 129 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
What is the NRG Energy stock forecast?
Analysts target a median of $179 within 12 months, i.e. +84% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $216, the most cautious $144.
What is the NRG Energy stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $179, +84%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (« 2030 prediction » models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (50%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Is NRG Energy overvalued?
Its P/E is 25.5, forward P/E 9.2. A forward P/E lower than the current P/E means earnings are expected to grow.
📊 See the full interactive analysis of NRG Energy →
What is JPI Invest?
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
- 🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
- 🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 6 years, from cautious to aggressive
- 💬 AI assistant: ask anything about any stock, with the numbers
- 📊 Portfolio tracking + 🔔 price alerts by email
⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.