FrançaisAre analysts right about Paccar (PCAR)?
📈 See the interactive version (live chart) →
Historical analyst accuracy
For Paccar, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 35% were profitable, average return +8% (148 calls). At 3 months: +1% average return (40% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) — not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Stanley | 21 | 29% | +3% |
| JP Morgan | 21 | 33% | +6% |
| Raymond James | 17 | 59% | +23% |
| Jefferies | 9 | 78% | +31% |
| B of A Securities | 7 | 14% | +0% |
Valuation
Is Paccar overvalued, and is it a good time to buy Paccar right now? If you're wondering, here's a recap to make up your own mind: Paccar's valuation vs its sector median, to weigh alongside analyst reliability (above) and past performance. Educational information, not buy advice.
The P/E (price ÷ earnings per share) = how many years of earnings you pay for the stock. The higher it is, the more growth the market expects — but the pricier the stock, so more vulnerable if growth disappoints. The forward P/E uses next year's expected earnings: lower than the current P/E = rising expected earnings. We compare it to the sector median to see whether the stock is expensive relative to its peers.
| Metric | Paccar | Sector median (Industrials) |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 26.6 | 29.2 |
| Forward P/E | 17.7 | 19.5 |
| Net margin | 9% | 11% |
👉 Paccar is valued in line with its sector (26.6 vs 29.2).
📖 P/E, PEG, margin…: see the glossary
💵 Dividend : Paccar pays about $2.74/share/yr → 2.26% yield. what is this?
Frequently asked questions
Is Paccar a buy right now?
The analyst consensus on Paccar (PCAR) is "Hold" (7 bullish, 0 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 35% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
What is Paccar's price target?
The median 12-month price target is $140 (+11% vs $127), ranging from $90.00 to $164 (7 analysts).
Are analysts accurate on Paccar?
Over 1 year, 35% of analyst targets on Paccar were profitable, for an average return of +8% (across 148 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
What is the Paccar stock forecast?
Analysts target a median of $140 within 12 months, i.e. +11% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $164, the most cautious $90.00.
What is the Paccar stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $140, +11%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (« 2030 prediction » models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (35%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Is Paccar overvalued?
Its P/E is 26.6, forward P/E 17.7. A forward P/E lower than the current P/E means earnings are expected to grow.
📊 See the full interactive analysis of Paccar →
What is JPI Invest?
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
- 🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
- 🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 6 years, from cautious to aggressive
- 💬 AI assistant: ask anything about any stock, with the numbers
- 📊 Portfolio tracking + 🔔 price alerts by email
⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.