FrançaisAre analysts right about Packaging Corporation of America (PKG)?
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Historical analyst accuracy
For Packaging Corporation of America, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 43% were profitable, average return +12% (98 calls). At 3 months: +5% average return (56% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) — not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| Truist Securities | 19 | 58% | +16% |
| Citigroup | 13 | 46% | +21% |
| Jefferies | 12 | 33% | +16% |
| Wells Fargo | 9 | 11% | +7% |
| B of A Securities | 8 | 50% | +12% |
Valuation
Is Packaging Corporation of America overvalued, and is it a good time to buy Packaging Corporation of America right now? If you're wondering, here's a recap to make up your own mind: Packaging Corporation of America's valuation vs its sector median, to weigh alongside analyst reliability (above) and past performance. Educational information, not buy advice.
The P/E (price ÷ earnings per share) = how many years of earnings you pay for the stock. The higher it is, the more growth the market expects — but the pricier the stock, so more vulnerable if growth disappoints. The forward P/E uses next year's expected earnings: lower than the current P/E = rising expected earnings. We compare it to the sector median to see whether the stock is expensive relative to its peers.
| Metric | Packaging Corporation of America | Sector median (Materials) |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 31.6 | 23.4 |
| Forward P/E | 18.8 | 15.9 |
| Net margin | 7% | 8% |
👉 Packaging Corporation of America trades above its sector median (31.6 vs 23.4) — the market expects higher growth; watch out for disappointment.
📖 P/E, PEG, margin…: see the glossary
💵 Dividend : Packaging Corporation of America pays about $5.25/share/yr → 2.21% yield. what is this?
Frequently asked questions
Is Packaging Corporation of America a buy right now?
The analyst consensus on Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) is "Buy" (23 bullish, 0 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 43% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
What is Packaging Corporation of America's price target?
The median 12-month price target is $263 (+8% vs $244), ranging from $246 to $312 (7 analysts).
Are analysts accurate on Packaging Corporation of America?
Over 1 year, 43% of analyst targets on Packaging Corporation of America were profitable, for an average return of +12% (across 98 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
What is the Packaging Corporation of America stock forecast?
Analysts target a median of $263 within 12 months, i.e. +8% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $312, the most cautious $246.
What is the Packaging Corporation of America stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $263, +8%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (« 2030 prediction » models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (43%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Is Packaging Corporation of America overvalued?
Its P/E is 31.6, forward P/E 18.8. A forward P/E lower than the current P/E means earnings are expected to grow.
📊 See the full interactive analysis of Packaging Corporation of America →
What is JPI Invest?
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
- 🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
- 🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 6 years, from cautious to aggressive
- 💬 AI assistant: ask anything about any stock, with the numbers
- 📊 Portfolio tracking + 🔔 price alerts by email
⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.