FrançaisAre analysts right about Royal Gold (RGLD)?
📈 See the interactive version (live chart) →
Historical analyst accuracy
For Royal Gold, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 38% were profitable, average return +12% (72 calls). At 3 months: +3% average return (38% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) — not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raymond James | 9 | 56% | +24% |
| Barclays | 9 | 11% | -15% |
| B. Riley Securities | 8 | 12% | +3% |
| UBS | 5 | 40% | +7% |
Valuation
Is Royal Gold overvalued, and is it a good time to buy Royal Gold right now? If you're wondering, here's a recap to make up your own mind: Royal Gold's valuation vs its sector median, to weigh alongside analyst reliability (above) and past performance. Educational information, not buy advice.
The P/E (price ÷ earnings per share) = how many years of earnings you pay for the stock. The higher it is, the more growth the market expects — but the pricier the stock, so more vulnerable if growth disappoints. The forward P/E uses next year's expected earnings: lower than the current P/E = rising expected earnings. We compare it to the sector median to see whether the stock is expensive relative to its peers.
| Metric | Royal Gold | Sector median (Materials) |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 29.5 | 23.4 |
| Forward P/E | 20.8 | 15.9 |
| Net margin | 48% | 8% |
👉 Royal Gold trades above its sector median (29.5 vs 23.4) — the market expects higher growth; watch out for disappointment.
📖 P/E, PEG, margin…: see the glossary
💵 Dividend : Royal Gold pays about $1.85/share/yr → 0.93% yield. what is this?
Frequently asked questions
Is Royal Gold a buy right now?
The analyst consensus on Royal Gold (RGLD) is "Buy" (7 bullish, 1 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 38% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
What is Royal Gold's price target?
The median 12-month price target is $305 (+13% vs $269), ranging from $285 to $311 (3 analysts).
Are analysts accurate on Royal Gold?
Over 1 year, 38% of analyst targets on Royal Gold were profitable, for an average return of +12% (across 72 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
What is the Royal Gold stock forecast?
Analysts target a median of $305 within 12 months, i.e. +13% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $311, the most cautious $285.
What is the Royal Gold stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $305, +13%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (« 2030 prediction » models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (38%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Is Royal Gold overvalued?
Its P/E is 29.5, forward P/E 20.8. A forward P/E lower than the current P/E means earnings are expected to grow.
📊 See the full interactive analysis of Royal Gold →
What is JPI Invest?
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
- 🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
- 🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 6 years, from cautious to aggressive
- 💬 AI assistant: ask anything about any stock, with the numbers
- 📊 Portfolio tracking + 🔔 price alerts by email
⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.