FrançaisAre analysts right about Phillips 66 (PSX)?
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Historical analyst accuracy
For Phillips 66, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 48% were profitable, average return +17% (208 calls). At 3 months: +4% average return (44% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) — not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raymond James | 35 | 49% | +15% |
| Wells Fargo | 29 | 52% | +18% |
| Barclays | 20 | 35% | +9% |
| Piper Sandler | 19 | 53% | +11% |
| JP Morgan | 16 | 25% | +9% |
Valuation
Is Phillips 66 overvalued, and is it a good time to buy Phillips 66 right now? If you're wondering, here's a recap to make up your own mind: Phillips 66's valuation vs its sector median, to weigh alongside analyst reliability (above) and past performance. Educational information, not buy advice.
The P/E (price ÷ earnings per share) = how many years of earnings you pay for the stock. The higher it is, the more growth the market expects — but the pricier the stock, so more vulnerable if growth disappoints. The forward P/E uses next year's expected earnings: lower than the current P/E = rising expected earnings. We compare it to the sector median to see whether the stock is expensive relative to its peers.
| Metric | Phillips 66 | Sector median (Energy) |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 8.8 | 16.3 |
| Forward P/E | 9.0 | 12.4 |
| Net margin | 7% | 14% |
👉 Phillips 66 trades below its sector median (8.8 vs 16.3) — potentially undervalued, or lower expected growth.
📖 P/E, PEG, margin…: see the glossary
💵 Dividend : Phillips 66 pays about $4.94/share/yr → 2.83% yield. what is this?
Frequently asked questions
Is Phillips 66 a buy right now?
The analyst consensus on Phillips 66 (PSX) is "Buy" (29 bullish, 1 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 48% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
What is Phillips 66's price target?
The median 12-month price target is $297 (+8% vs $274), ranging from $207 to $310 (11 analysts).
Are analysts accurate on Phillips 66?
Over 1 year, 48% of analyst targets on Phillips 66 were profitable, for an average return of +17% (across 208 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
What is the Phillips 66 stock forecast?
Analysts target a median of $297 within 12 months, i.e. +8% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $310, the most cautious $207.
What is the Phillips 66 stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $297, +8%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (« 2030 prediction » models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (48%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Is Phillips 66 overvalued?
Its P/E is 8.8, forward P/E 9.0. A forward P/E lower than the current P/E means earnings are expected to grow.
📊 See the full interactive analysis of Phillips 66 →
What is JPI Invest?
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
- 🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
- 🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 6 years, from cautious to aggressive
- 💬 AI assistant: ask anything about any stock, with the numbers
- 📊 Portfolio tracking + 🔔 price alerts by email
⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.