FrançaisAre analysts right about SM Energy Company (SM)?
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Historical analyst accuracy
For SM Energy Company, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 39% were profitable, average return +11% (166 calls). At 3 months: +14% average return (46% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) — not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barclays | 26 | 38% | -6% |
| Keybanc | 19 | 47% | +28% |
| Raymond James | 16 | 50% | +16% |
| Mizuho | 15 | 53% | +4% |
| Stifel | 9 | 22% | +45% |
Frequently asked questions
Is SM Energy Company a buy right now?
The analyst consensus on SM Energy Company (SM) is "Buy" (17 bullish, 0 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 39% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
What is SM Energy Company's price target?
The median 12-month price target is $37.00 (+0% vs $36.81), ranging from $30.00 to $52.00 (11 analysts).
Are analysts accurate on SM Energy Company?
Over 1 year, 39% of analyst targets on SM Energy Company were profitable, for an average return of +11% (across 166 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
What is the SM Energy Company stock forecast?
Analysts target a median of $37.00 within 12 months, i.e. +0% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $52.00, the most cautious $30.00.
What is the SM Energy Company stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $37.00, +0%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (« 2030 prediction » models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (39%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Is SM Energy Company overvalued?
Detailed valuation data for SM Energy Company is available in the interactive analysis.
📊 See the full interactive analysis of SM Energy Company →
What is JPI Invest?
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
- 🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
- 🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 6 years, from cautious to aggressive
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⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.