FrançaisAre analysts right about Seagate Technology (STX)?
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Historical analyst accuracy
For Seagate Technology, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 68% were profitable, average return +147% (127 calls). At 3 months: +17% average return (53% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) — not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rosenblatt | 21 | 76% | +133% |
| B of A Securities | 16 | 88% | +266% |
| Morgan Stanley | 14 | 79% | +278% |
| Citigroup | 10 | 90% | +366% |
| Mizuho | 9 | 78% | +161% |
Valuation
Is Seagate Technology overvalued, and is it a good time to buy Seagate Technology right now? If you're wondering, here's a recap to make up your own mind: Seagate Technology's valuation vs its sector median, to weigh alongside analyst reliability (above) and past performance. Educational information, not buy advice.
The P/E (price ÷ earnings per share) = how many years of earnings you pay for the stock. The higher it is, the more growth the market expects — but the pricier the stock, so more vulnerable if growth disappoints. The forward P/E uses next year's expected earnings: lower than the current P/E = rising expected earnings. We compare it to the sector median to see whether the stock is expensive relative to its peers.
| Metric | Seagate Technology | Sector median (Information Technology) |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 36.7 | 36.0 |
| Forward P/E | 10.8 | 18.3 |
| Net margin | 32% | 16% |
👉 Seagate Technology is valued in line with its sector (36.7 vs 36.0).
📖 P/E, PEG, margin…: see the glossary
💵 Dividend : Seagate Technology pays about $2.94/share/yr → 0.32% yield. what is this?
Frequently asked questions
Is Seagate Technology a buy right now?
The analyst consensus on Seagate Technology (STX) is "Buy" (68 bullish, 0 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 68% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
What is Seagate Technology's price target?
The median 12-month price target is $1,000 (+43% vs $700), ranging from $750 to $1,250 (15 analysts).
Are analysts accurate on Seagate Technology?
Over 1 year, 68% of analyst targets on Seagate Technology were profitable, for an average return of +147% (across 127 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
What is the Seagate Technology stock forecast?
Analysts target a median of $1,000 within 12 months, i.e. +43% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $1,250, the most cautious $750.
What is the Seagate Technology stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $1,000, +43%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (« 2030 prediction » models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (68%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Is Seagate Technology overvalued?
Its P/E is 36.7, forward P/E 10.8. A forward P/E lower than the current P/E means earnings are expected to grow.
📊 See the full interactive analysis of Seagate Technology →
What is JPI Invest?
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
- 🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
- 🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 6 years, from cautious to aggressive
- 💬 AI assistant: ask anything about any stock, with the numbers
- 📊 Portfolio tracking + 🔔 price alerts by email
⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.