FrançaisAre analysts right about Texas Capital Bancshares (TCBI)?
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Historical analyst accuracy
For Texas Capital Bancshares, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 31% were profitable, average return +6% (128 calls). At 3 months: +3% average return (41% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) — not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raymond James | 24 | 42% | +12% |
| JP Morgan | 13 | 0% | -21% |
| Barclays | 11 | 9% | -8% |
| Truist Securities | 11 | 64% | +15% |
| B of A Securities | 8 | 38% | -11% |
Valuation
Is Texas Capital Bancshares overvalued, and is it a good time to buy Texas Capital Bancshares right now? If you're wondering, here's a recap to make up your own mind: Texas Capital Bancshares's valuation vs its sector median, to weigh alongside analyst reliability (above) and past performance. Educational information, not buy advice.
The P/E (price ÷ earnings per share) = how many years of earnings you pay for the stock. The higher it is, the more growth the market expects — but the pricier the stock, so more vulnerable if growth disappoints. The forward P/E uses next year's expected earnings: lower than the current P/E = rising expected earnings. We compare it to the sector median to see whether the stock is expensive relative to its peers.
| Metric | Texas Capital Bancshares | Sector median (Financials) |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 12.8 | 14.0 |
| Forward P/E | 11.9 | 11.1 |
| Net margin | 29% | 24% |
👉 Texas Capital Bancshares is valued in line with its sector (12.8 vs 14.0).
📖 P/E, PEG, margin…: see the glossary
💵 Dividend : Texas Capital Bancshares pays about $0.20/share/yr → 0.19% yield. what is this?
Frequently asked questions
Is Texas Capital Bancshares a buy right now?
The analyst consensus on Texas Capital Bancshares (TCBI) is "Hold" (4 bullish, 8 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 31% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
What is Texas Capital Bancshares's price target?
The median 12-month price target is $107 (+9% vs $98.10), ranging from $100 to $114 (7 analysts).
Are analysts accurate on Texas Capital Bancshares?
Over 1 year, 31% of analyst targets on Texas Capital Bancshares were profitable, for an average return of +6% (across 128 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
What is the Texas Capital Bancshares stock forecast?
Analysts target a median of $107 within 12 months, i.e. +9% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $114, the most cautious $100.
What is the Texas Capital Bancshares stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $107, +9%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (« 2030 prediction » models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (31%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Is Texas Capital Bancshares overvalued?
Its P/E is 12.8, forward P/E 11.9. A forward P/E lower than the current P/E means earnings are expected to grow.
📊 See the full interactive analysis of Texas Capital Bancshares →
What is JPI Invest?
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
- 🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
- 🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 6 years, from cautious to aggressive
- 💬 AI assistant: ask anything about any stock, with the numbers
- 📊 Portfolio tracking + 🔔 price alerts by email
⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.