FrançaisAre analysts right about Texas Roadhouse (TXRH)?
📈 See the interactive version (live chart) →
Historical analyst accuracy
For Texas Roadhouse, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 44% were profitable, average return +19% (199 calls). At 3 months: +4% average return (47% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) — not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wedbush | 35 | 49% | +20% |
| Raymond James | 20 | 65% | +37% |
| Truist Securities | 19 | 26% | +13% |
| Barclays | 13 | 38% | +12% |
| Baird | 10 | 30% | +7% |
Valuation
Is Texas Roadhouse overvalued, and is it a good time to buy Texas Roadhouse right now? If you're wondering, here's a recap to make up your own mind: Texas Roadhouse's valuation vs its sector median, to weigh alongside analyst reliability (above) and past performance. Educational information, not buy advice.
The P/E (price ÷ earnings per share) = how many years of earnings you pay for the stock. The higher it is, the more growth the market expects — but the pricier the stock, so more vulnerable if growth disappoints. The forward P/E uses next year's expected earnings: lower than the current P/E = rising expected earnings. We compare it to the sector median to see whether the stock is expensive relative to its peers.
| Metric | Texas Roadhouse | Sector median (Consumer Discretionary) |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 32.6 | 19.9 |
| Forward P/E | 25.7 | 14.4 |
| Net margin | 7% | 9% |
👉 Texas Roadhouse trades above its sector median (32.6 vs 19.9) — the market expects higher growth; watch out for disappointment.
📖 P/E, PEG, margin…: see the glossary
💵 Dividend : Texas Roadhouse pays about $2.86/share/yr → 1.49% yield. what is this?
Frequently asked questions
Is Texas Roadhouse a buy right now?
The analyst consensus on Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) is "Buy" (26 bullish, 0 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 44% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
What is Texas Roadhouse's price target?
The median 12-month price target is $210 (+5% vs $200), ranging from $175 to $235 (16 analysts).
Are analysts accurate on Texas Roadhouse?
Over 1 year, 44% of analyst targets on Texas Roadhouse were profitable, for an average return of +19% (across 199 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
What is the Texas Roadhouse stock forecast?
Analysts target a median of $210 within 12 months, i.e. +5% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $235, the most cautious $175.
What is the Texas Roadhouse stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $210, +5%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (« 2030 prediction » models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (44%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Is Texas Roadhouse overvalued?
Its P/E is 32.6, forward P/E 25.7. A forward P/E lower than the current P/E means earnings are expected to grow.
📊 See the full interactive analysis of Texas Roadhouse →
What is JPI Invest?
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
- 🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
- 🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 6 years, from cautious to aggressive
- 💬 AI assistant: ask anything about any stock, with the numbers
- 📊 Portfolio tracking + 🔔 price alerts by email
⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.