FrançaisAre analysts right about Marriott Vacations Worldwide (VAC)?
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Historical analyst accuracy
For Marriott Vacations Worldwide, we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 22% were profitable, average return -2% (95 calls). At 3 months: -2% average return (37% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) — not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stifel | 15 | 33% | +4% |
| Truist Securities | 13 | 8% | -18% |
| JMP Securities | 10 | 20% | +1% |
| Goldman Sachs | 9 | 44% | +3% |
| Deutsche Bank | 9 | 0% | -13% |
Frequently asked questions
Is Marriott Vacations Worldwide a buy right now?
The analyst consensus on Marriott Vacations Worldwide (VAC) is "Hold" (10 bullish, 10 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 22% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
What is Marriott Vacations Worldwide's price target?
The median 12-month price target is $104 (-6% vs $111), ranging from $52.00 to $140 (6 analysts).
Are analysts accurate on Marriott Vacations Worldwide?
Over 1 year, 22% of analyst targets on Marriott Vacations Worldwide were profitable, for an average return of -2% (across 95 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
What is the Marriott Vacations Worldwide stock forecast?
Analysts target a median of $104 within 12 months, i.e. -6% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $140, the most cautious $52.00.
What is the Marriott Vacations Worldwide stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $104, -6%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (« 2030 prediction » models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (22%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Is Marriott Vacations Worldwide overvalued?
Detailed valuation data for Marriott Vacations Worldwide is available in the interactive analysis.
📊 See the full interactive analysis of Marriott Vacations Worldwide →
What is JPI Invest?
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
- 🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
- 🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 6 years, from cautious to aggressive
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⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.