FrançaisAre analysts right about Vistra Corp. (VST)?
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Historical analyst accuracy
For Vistra Corp., we replayed every analyst price target of the past 12 months and measured the real outcome: 63% were profitable, average return +54% (99 calls). At 3 months: +7% average return (44% profitable). The higher the %, the more often analysts were right on this stock.
Most reliable analysts on this stock (past track record)
Their past track record on this stock (targets replayed against real prices) — not a forecast of what will happen.
| Analyst / broker | Calls i | % profitable i | Avg return i |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Stanley | 41 | 63% | +69% |
| BMO Capital | 13 | 77% | +111% |
| UBS | 9 | 44% | +16% |
| Citigroup | 6 | 50% | -2% |
| B of A Securities | 6 | 50% | +46% |
Valuation
Is Vistra Corp. overvalued, and is it a good time to buy Vistra Corp. right now? If you're wondering, here's a recap to make up your own mind: Vistra Corp.'s valuation vs its sector median, to weigh alongside analyst reliability (above) and past performance. Educational information, not buy advice.
The P/E (price ÷ earnings per share) = how many years of earnings you pay for the stock. The higher it is, the more growth the market expects — but the pricier the stock, so more vulnerable if growth disappoints. The forward P/E uses next year's expected earnings: lower than the current P/E = rising expected earnings. We compare it to the sector median to see whether the stock is expensive relative to its peers.
| Metric | Vistra Corp. | Sector median (Utilities) |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 23.6 | 20.9 |
| Forward P/E | 13.5 | 16.9 |
| Net margin | 12% | 14% |
👉 Vistra Corp. is valued in line with its sector (23.6 vs 20.9).
📖 P/E, PEG, margin…: see the glossary
💵 Dividend : Vistra Corp. pays about $0.91/share/yr → 0.59% yield. what is this?
Frequently asked questions
Is Vistra Corp. a buy right now?
The analyst consensus on Vistra Corp. (VST) is "Buy" (28 bullish, 0 bearish calls over 12 months). This is not advice: historically, 63% of their targets on this stock turned out profitable over 1 year.
What is Vistra Corp.'s price target?
The median 12-month price target is $227 (+62% vs $140), ranging from $169 to $298 (6 analysts).
Are analysts accurate on Vistra Corp.?
Over 1 year, 63% of analyst targets on Vistra Corp. were profitable, for an average return of +54% (across 99 timestamped calls). This is JPI Invest's accuracy metric.
What is the Vistra Corp. stock forecast?
Analysts target a median of $227 within 12 months, i.e. +62% vs the current price. The most bullish targets $298, the most cautious $169.
What is the Vistra Corp. stock forecast for 2026 or long term (2030)?
Note: analyst targets are 12-month (median $227, +62%), NOT 2030. No reliable 5-10 year price forecast exists (« 2030 prediction » models are speculative). The most useful inputs: the 12-month median above, these analysts' historical accuracy (63%), and the stock's past trajectory.
Is Vistra Corp. overvalued?
Its P/E is 23.6, forward P/E 13.5. A forward P/E lower than the current P/E means earnings are expected to grow.
📊 See the full interactive analysis of Vistra Corp. →
What is JPI Invest?
JPI Invest aggregates analyst recommendations across the entire S&P 500 (plus the S&P MidCap 400), replays them against real prices and measures who predicts best — on results, not reputation. Instead of taking a price target at face value, you see each analyst's track record on each stock.
- 🏆 Analyst leaderboard by real reliability (beating their sector, not just riding the rally)
- 🎯 What to buy: 3 backtested methods over 6 years, from cautious to aggressive
- 💬 AI assistant: ask anything about any stock, with the numbers
- 📊 Portfolio tracking + 🔔 price alerts by email
⚠️ Educational information, not investment advice. Analyst price targets are 12-month and can be wrong. Data via Yahoo Finance, recomputed by JPI Invest.